Guardians vs. White Sox prediction: Why White Sox are favored to win Wednesday's MLB matchup [6/24/2026]

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Written by Jason Bevilacqua

Get Cleveland Guardians vs Chicago White Sox predictions for MLB Wednesday.

Cleveland Guardians-Chicago White Sox Predictions and Game Preview.
Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox MLB prediction for Wednesday, June 24, 2026.

The Chicago White Sox will face the Cleveland Guardians, in what is expected to be a close MLB game, at Rate Field on Wednesday, starting at 2:10 PM ET.

The White Sox will start Chris Murphy (2-0, 5.27 ERA), up against Tanner Bibee (2-8, 4.03 ERA) for the Guardians.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced MLB model gives the White Sox a slight edge with a 51.0% win probability over the Guardians.

This article offers further insights into Wednesday's Guardians vs. White Sox matchup, including best bets and picks.

Guardians vs. White Sox prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's MLB game between the Guardians and White Sox, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently gives the White Sox a 51.0% chance of beating the Guardians.

According to our model, the White Sox (+1.5) have a 62.7% chance of covering the run line, while the 8-run over/under has a 53.7% chance of going over,.

 

Guardians vs. White Sox odds [6/24/2026]

We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type Guardians White Sox
Run Line -1.5 (+150) +1.5 (-172)
Moneyline -110 -104
Total o8 (-115) u8 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Guardians vs. White Sox picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Run Line White Sox +1.5 -172
Moneyline White Sox -104
Total Over 8 -115

According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 8 total runs.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

 

Guardians vs. White Sox game-day updates and essential details

Wednesday's MLB action between the White Sox and Guardians at Rate Field is scheduled to commence at 2:10 PM ET.

Conclusion

We predict the White Sox, with a 51.0% win probability, will likely beat the Guardians in Wednesday's MLB matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

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Written by
Jason Bevilacqua
Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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