Valkyries vs. Sun prediction: Why Golden State is favored to win Friday's WNBA matchup [7/10/2026]
Get Golden State Valkyries vs Connecticut Sun predictions for WNBA Friday.
The Connecticut Sun will take on the favored Golden State Valkyries in WNBA action at Mohegan Sun Arena on Friday, starting at 7:30 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced WNBA model projects the Valkyries as the most likely winner of the Valkyries vs. Sun game.
The Sun, powered by Olivia Nelson-Ododa, Leila Lacan and Kennedy Burke, are set to take on the Valkyries, who feature Veronica Burton, Janelle Salaun and Kayla Thornton.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Friday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Valkyries vs. Sun prediction: Who will win and cover?
Our famous predictive model gives the Valkyries a 66.0% chance of defeating the Sun.
According to our model, the Sun (+6) have a 57.2% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 153.5 points has a 61.7% chance of going over,.
Valkyries vs. Sun odds
We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Valkyries | Sun |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -6 (-115) | +6 (-105) |
| Moneyline | -239 | +223 |
| Total | o153.5 (-104) | u153.5 (-104) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Valkyries vs. Sun picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Sun +6 | novig-105 |
| Moneyline | Sun | novig+223 |
| Total | Over 153.5 | fanatics-104 |
According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 153.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Valkyries vs. Sun player props
Looking for Valkyries vs. Sun WNBA prop bets? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Mohegan Sun Arena.
Veronica Burton is expected to lead the Valkyries with 12 points, 4 rebounds and 6 assists, while Olivia Nelson-Ododa is projected to have 14 points, 7 rebounds and 2 assists for the Sun.
When evaluating the first basket market, Janelle Salaun is our top projected player to score first, backed by a 15.5% probability.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.
Valkyries prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Valkyries are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Veronica Burton | 12 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 30 |
| Janelle Salaun | 10 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 18 |
| Kayla Thornton | 9 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 21 |
| Tiffany Hayes | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 18 |
| Gabby Williams | 9 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 19 |
Sun prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Sun:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Nelson-Ododa | 14 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 32 |
| Leila Lacan | 11 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 26 |
| Kennedy Burke | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 22 |
| Raegan Beers | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 20 |
| Aaliyah Edwards | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 20 |
Valkyries vs. Sun game-day updates and essential details
Friday's matchup between the Sun and Valkyries at Mohegan Sun Arena is scheduled to start at 7:30 PM ET.
- Who: Golden State Valkyries vs. Connecticut Sun
- Date: Friday, July 10, 2026
- Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
- Venue: Mohegan Sun Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Valkyries, with a 66.0% win probability, will likely beat the Sun in Friday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
