Storm vs. Dream prediction: Why Atlanta is favored to win Thursday's WNBA game [7/9/2026]
Get Seattle Storm vs Atlanta Dream predictions for WNBA Thursday.
WNBA action continues on Thursday at 8:00 PM ET as the Seattle Storm take on the favored Atlanta Dream at Gateway Center Arena.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven WNBA model predicts the Dream as the most likely winner of the Storm vs. Dream game.
The Dream, led by Allisha Gray, Rhyne Howard and Angel Reese, are set to take on the Storm, whose lineup includes Natisha Hiedeman, Dominique Malonga and Flau'jae Johnson.
This article offers a closer look at Thursday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Storm vs. Dream prediction: Who will win and cover?
Our independent predictive model gives the Dream an 81.4% chance of beating the Storm.
According to our model, the Storm (+12.5) have a 61.2% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 170.5 points has a 61.3% chance of staying under,.
Storm vs. Dream odds
We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Storm | Dream |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +12.5 (-105) | -12.5 (-105) |
| Moneyline | +525 | -675 |
| Total | o170.5 (-110) | u170.5 (-113) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Storm vs. Dream picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Storm +12.5 | bet_rivers_in-105 |
| Moneyline | Storm | +525 |
| Total | Under 170.5 | -113 |
According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Storm +12.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Storm vs. Dream player props
Looking for Storm vs. Dream WNBA prop bets? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Gateway Center Arena.
Natisha Hiedeman is expected to lead the Storm with 14 points, 2 rebounds and 4 assists, while Allisha Gray is projected to have 18 points, 5 rebounds and 3 assists for the Dream.
When evaluating the first basket market, Dominique Malonga is our top projected player to score first, backed by a 13.7% probability.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.
Storm prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Storm are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Hiedeman | 14 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 28 |
| D. Malonga | 14 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 30 |
| F. Johnson | 12 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 25 |
| Awa Fam | 12 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 27 |
| Jade Melbourne | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 17 |
Dream prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Dream:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allisha Gray | 18 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 34 |
| Rhyne Howard | 18 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 38 |
| Angel Reese | 16 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 43 |
| Jordin Canada | 12 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 36 |
| Naz Hillmon | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 21 |
Storm vs. Dream game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's matchup between the Dream and Storm at Gateway Center Arena is scheduled to begin at 8:00 PM ET.
- Who: Seattle Storm vs. Atlanta Dream
- Date: Thursday, July 9, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: Gateway Center Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Dream, with an 81.4% win probability, will likely beat the Storm in Thursday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
