WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Friday, July 10, 2026
Get first basket predictions today driven by expert analysis of WNBA slate on 7/10.
Our WNBA first basket picks and predictions for today—Friday, July 10, 2026—are live with the Tempo's Marina Mabrey projected as the most likely player to score first.
These projections draw on key first basket stats, including player efficiency, shot frequency, and expected starting lineups, forming part of our daily WNBA player projections.
Mabrey, Janelle Salaun and Paige Bueckers lead Friday’s most likely first basket scorers, while we also highlight tonight's best first basket value picks by comparing real-time odds to model-generated probabilities.
WNBA first basket predictions tonight (July 10, 2026)
| Player (Team) | FB Probability |
|---|---|
| Marina Mabrey (Tempo) | 16.0% |
| Janelle Salaun (Valkyries) | 15.5% |
| Paige Bueckers (Wings) | 14.7% |
| Kamilla Cardoso (Sky) | 14.6% |
| Sydney Taylor (Sky) | 14.3% |
| Nneka Ogwumike (Sparks) | 14.1% |
| Isabelle Harrison (Tempo) | 13.0% |
| Olivia Nelson-Ododa (Sun) | 12.2% |
| Dearica Hamby (Sparks) | 12.0% |
| Aaliyah Edwards (Sun) | 11.3% |
| Leila Lacan (Sun) | 11.1% |
| Rae Burrell (Sparks) | 11.1% |
| Jessica Shepard (Wings) | 11.0% |
| Kaila Charles (Valkyries) | 10.9% |
| Azzi Fudd (Wings) | 10.3% |
| Veronica Burton (Valkyries) | 10.2% |
| Kayla Thornton (Valkyries) | 8.2% |
| Azura Stevens (Sky) | 8.1% |
| Kennedy Burke (Sun) | 7.8% |
| Laura Juskaite (Tempo) | 7.7% |
| Charlisse Leger-Walker (Sun) | 7.6% |
| Arike Ogunbowale (Wings) | 7.6% |
| Maria Conde (Tempo) | 7.2% |
| Jacy Sheldon (Sky) | 7.1% |
| Ariel Atkins (Sparks) | 6.8% |
| Awak Kuier (Wings) | 6.4% |
| Erica Wheeler (Sparks) | 6.1% |
| Julie Allemand (Tempo) | 6.0% |
| Natasha Cloud (Sky) | 5.9% |
| Kiah Stokes (Valkyries) | 5.1% |
WNBA first basket picks today (July 10, 2026)
| Player | Team | Edge | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney Taylor | Sky | 5.2% | +1000 | 14.3% |
| Isabelle Harrison | Tempo | 1.9% | +800 | 13.0% |
| Dearica Hamby | Sparks | 1.5% | +850 | 12.0% |
| Rae Burrell | Sparks | 1.1% | +900 | 11.1% |
| Nneka Ogwumike | Sparks | 0.8% | +650 | 14.1% |
| Marina Mabrey | Tempo | 0.7% | +550 | 16.0% |
| Veronica Burton | Valkyries | 0.6% | +950 | 10.2% |
| Azzi Fudd | Wings | 0.3% | +900 | 10.3% |
| Maria Conde | Tempo | 0.0% | +1300 | 7.2% |
Edges represent the difference between model probability and implied odds.
For more insights on prop markets and value plays across the league, explore our full list of NBA prop bets for 7/10.
Conclusion: Betting on today's NBA first basket
For Friday, July 10, 2026, Marina Mabrey, Janelle Salaun and Paige Bueckers lead our first basket projections, while Sydney Taylor shapes as the strongest value play at +1000. All picks and predictions are derived from Dimers’ WNBA first basket model.
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Damien Souness is Chief Experience Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, helping lead sports media brands such as Dimers. He specializes in creating trustworthy and data-driven content for sports fans, with experience working for globally recognized sports and media organizations.
