WNBA player props today: Thursday's best props include A'ja Wilson [7/9/2026]
Get WNBA player props today with projections for Thursday's games.
Dimers' WNBA props are live for July 9, 2026, with today's top prop bets led by the likes of A'ja Wilson, Carla Leite and NaLyssa Smith.
Our WNBA player props model runs continuously, analyzing every matchup, including Storm vs. Dream and Fever vs. Mercury, to surface the best WNBA player prop bets across the market.
List of WNBA prop bets for Thursday, 7/9
Sourced from 35+ total WNBA props on site today, below are the top 10 WNBA player props for July 9, ranked by probability.
A'ja Wilson over 23.5 points scored (-108)
- Edge: 7.7%
- Probability: 59.6%
- Projection: 28.3
- Game: Aces vs. Fire (10:00PM ET)
Our model has found value on Las Vegas' A'ja Wilson over 23.5 points scored. A probability of 59.6% gives this play an edge of 7.7% at -108 odds.
Carla Leite under 5.5 assists (+100)
- Edge: 7.9%
- Probability: 57.9%
- Projection: 4.1
- Game: Aces vs. Fire (10:00PM ET)
Carla Leite’s assists prop shows a 7.9% edge at +100 odds, according to our model, which projects her for 4.1 assists on the under 5.5 line.
NaLyssa Smith under 6.5 rebounds (-122)
- Edge: 1.8%
- Probability: 56.8%
- Projection: 5.3
- Game: Aces vs. Fire (10:00PM ET)
The data highlights value on NaLyssa Smith under 6.5 rebounds, with simulations showing a 56.8% probability and a 1.8% edge at -122.
Aliyah Boston under 17.5 points scored (-120)
- Edge: 1.2%
- Probability: 55.7%
- Projection: 14.8
- Game: Fever vs. Mercury (10:00PM ET)
Our model projects Aliyah Boston to record 14.8 points scored today, creating an edge of 1.2% on the under 17.5 line at -120 odds.
A'ja Wilson over 8.5 rebounds (+105)
- Edge: 6.7%
- Probability: 55.5%
- Projection: 9.5
- Game: Aces vs. Fire (10:00PM ET)
Simulations indicate value on A'ja Wilson over 8.5 rebounds for Las Vegas, showing an edge of 6.7% at +105 odds.
Valeriane Ayayi over 10.5 points scored (-114)
- Edge: 2.1%
- Probability: 55.4%
- Projection: 13.0
- Game: Fever vs. Mercury (10:00PM ET)
Valeriane Ayayi’s points scored prop shows an edge of 2.1% at -114 odds, according to our model, which projects her for 13.0 today.
Aliyah Boston over 3.5 assists (+116)
- Edge: 8.1%
- Probability: 54.4%
- Projection: 4.3
- Game: Fever vs. Mercury (10:00PM ET)
Our model projects Aliyah Boston for 4.3 assists for Indiana, creating an edge of 8.1% on over 3.5 at +116 odds.
Monique Billings under 5.5 rebounds (+112)
- Edge: 6.6%
- Probability: 53.8%
- Projection: 4.8
- Game: Fever vs. Mercury (10:00PM ET)
Our expert modelling projects Monique Billings for 4.8 rebounds, creating value on the under 5.5 line at +112 odds and a 6.6% edge.
Alyssa Thomas over 14.5 points scored (-105)
- Edge: 1.5%
- Probability: 52.7%
- Projection: 15.7
- Game: Fever vs. Mercury (10:00PM ET)
A 1.5% edge on the over 5.5 points scored line makes Alyssa Thomas a value play in Fever vs. Mercury, with our model projecting her for 15.7 points scored at -105 odds.
Jewell Loyd over 9.5 points scored (-104)
- Edge: 1.3%
- Probability: 52.3%
- Projection: 10.5
- Game: Aces vs. Fire (10:00PM ET)
Simulations project Jewell Loyd for 10.5 points scored here, creating a 1.3% edge on the over 9.5 line at -104 odds.
WNBA player prop summary: Thursday, July 9, 2026
A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 9:59PM ET:
| Matchup | Prop | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aces vs. Fire | A'ja Wilson over 23.5 points scored | -108 @ FanDuel | 7.7% | 59.6% |
| Aces vs. Fire | Carla Leite under 5.5 assists | +100 @ ESPN BET | 7.9% | 57.9% |
| Aces vs. Fire | NaLyssa Smith under 6.5 rebounds | -122 @ DraftKings | 1.2% | 55.7% |
| Fever vs. Mercury | Aliyah Boston under 17.5 points scored | -120 @ FanDuel | 1.2% | 55.7% |
| Aces vs. Fire | A'ja Wilson over 8.5 rebounds | +105 @ ESPN BET | 6.7% | 55.5% |
| Fever vs. Mercury | Valeriane Ayayi over 10.5 points scored | -114 @ DraftKings | 2.1% | 55.4% |
| Fever vs. Mercury | Aliyah Boston over 3.5 assists | +116 @ DraftKings | 8.1% | 54.4% |
| Fever vs. Mercury | Monique Billings under 5.5 rebounds | +112 @ FanDuel | 6.6% | 53.8% |
| Fever vs. Mercury | Alyssa Thomas over 14.5 points scored | -105 @ DraftKings | 1.5% | 52.7% |
| Aces vs. Fire | Jewell Loyd over 9.5 points scored | -104 @ DraftKings | 1.3% | 52.3% |
Conclusion
For July 9, 2026, our WNBA prop bets feature players such as A'ja Wilson, Carla Leite and NaLyssa Smith. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.
Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
