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Read Article Today’s top 10 most likely home run hitters, plus +750 pick for Sunday [6/28/2026]
Updated: | First published:
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Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get home run predictions today driven by expert analysis of Sunday's MLB slate.
Our MLB home run predictions for Sunday, June 28, 2026, feature Pete Alonso as the top projected hitter, according to Dimers Pro's latest simulation data.
Sunday's HR projections come straight from our home run predictions, built to highlight the most likely home run hitters today.
Home run predictions for June 28, 2026
See which hitters join Alonso on today’s list — plus a long-shot pick the model rates as value at +750.
| Player (Team) | HR Projection |
|---|---|
| Pete Alonso (Orioles) | 21.8% |
| Byron Buxton (Twins) | 20.8% |
| Nick Kurtz (Athletics) | 20.2% |
| Jo Adell (Angels) | 20.1% |
| Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers) | 19.0% |
| Shea Langeliers (Athletics) | 18.9% |
| Samuel Basallo (Orioles) | 18.5% |
| Vladimir Guerrero (Blue Jays) | 18.5% |
| Hunter Goodman (Rockies) | 18.4% |
| Kyle Schwarber (Phillies) | 18.3% |
Our analysis shows Alonso leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 21.8% chance to go deep, followed by Byron Buxton (20.8%) and Nick Kurtz (20.2%).
Jo Adell and Shohei Ohtani are among several other sluggers to rank inside the top 10.
Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR prediction for Sunday? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.
Sunday's home run picks [6/28/2026]
Dimers Pro’s 10,000-simulation model, factoring in weather and pitching matchups, reveals today’s highest-rated home run prop.
Alex Jackson (Twins) to hit a home run
- Probability: 15.5%
- Odds: +750
- Edge: 3.7%
- Game: Rockies vs. Twins (2:10 PM EDT)
- Pitching matchup: Ryan Feltner
Though outside today’s top 10 home run projections, Minnesota slugger Alex Jackson rates as a value play at +750 with FanDuel Sportsbook, showing a 3.7% edge.
Against Rockies starter Ryan Feltner, the data supports Jackson as one of Sunday’s strongest value spots among available home run props.
Pro users have access to a total of 11 home run betting edges today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.
Conclusion
For June 28, 2026, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Pete Alonso, Byron Buxton and Nick Kurtz projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Alex Jackson who emerges with the day’s strongest model-backed value, supported by a 3.7% edge at +750 odds.
For tips and resources on responsible wagering, visit our Responsible Gambling section.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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