Jul 16, 2026
MLB player props today: Thursday's best props include Aaron Nola [7/16/2026]
Read Article Home run predictions and picks: Top bet for Dinger Tuesday has +483 odds [6/30/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Add Dimers on Google 
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get home run predictions today driven by expert analysis of Tuesday's MLB slate.
Our MLB home run predictions for Tuesday, June 30, 2026, feature Shohei Ohtani as the top projected hitter, according to Dimers Pro's latest simulation data.
Tuesday's HR projections pull from our proprietary home run predictions, which simulate every MLB matchup 10,000 times to reveal the top slugging candidates today.
Home run predictions for June 30, 2026
See which hitters join Ohtani on today’s list — including one value pick the model rates as value at +483.
| Player (Team) | HR Projection |
|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (Dodgers) | 26.2% |
| Kyle Schwarber (Phillies) | 22.9% |
| Pete Alonso (Orioles) | 22.0% |
| Nick Kurtz (Athletics) | 20.4% |
| Kyle Tucker (Dodgers) | 19.6% |
| Michael Busch (Cubs) | 19.5% |
| Kyle Stowers (Marlins) | 19.3% |
| Teoscar Hernandez (Dodgers) | 19.0% |
| Samuel Basallo (Orioles) | 19.0% |
| Shea Langeliers (Athletics) | 19.0% |
Our analysis shows Ohtani leads today's MLB home run predictions with a 26.2% chance to go yard, followed by Kyle Schwarber (22.9%) and Pete Alonso (22.0%).
Nick Kurtz and Kyle Tucker are among several other sluggers to crack the top 10.
Want the full list of home run props today—including every player's HR prediction for Tuesday? Check out today's HR and hitter projections and sort by “To Hit HR” to see every player’s probability of going deep.
Tuesday's home run picks [6/30/2026]
Powered by 10,000 simulations and data-driven factors like weather and pitcher form, Dimers Pro highlights today’s top home run prop.
Kyle Tucker (Dodgers) to hit a home run
- Probability: 19.6%
- Odds: +483
- Edge: 2.5%
- Game: Dodgers vs. Athletics (9:40 PM EDT)
- Pitching matchup: Jeffrey Springs
Ranked among today’s top five home run projections, Los Angeles slugger Kyle Tucker rates as a value play at +483 with DraftKings Sportsbook, showing a 2.5% edge.
Against Athletics starter Jeffrey Springs, the data supports Tucker as one of Tuesday’s strongest value spots among available home run props — and a natural fit for Dinger Tuesday, a night built around finding value in long-ball matchups.
Originally sparked by sportsbook offers rewarding bonus bets for each home run hit by a selected player, Dinger Tuesday has evolved into a weekly tradition for MLB bettors — where clear, model-driven insights like these can help separate signal from noise.
Pro users have access to all of our home run predictions today, plus hit and RBI projections, pitcher props, and more—perfect for building smarter MLB parlays and round robins.
Conclusion
For June 30, 2026, our MLB home run predictions are locked in, with sluggers like Shohei Ohtani, Kyle Schwarber and Pete Alonso projected to be among the most powerful bats in today’s games. But it's Kyle Tucker who emerges with the day’s strongest model-backed value, supported by a 2.5% edge at +483 odds.
For guidance on safer wagering habits, explore our Responsible Gambling resources.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
Advertiser disclosure
