Mercury vs. Tempo prediction: Why Toronto is favored to win Saturday's WNBA matchup [6/27/2026]

The Toronto Tempo and Phoenix Mercury are scheduled to meet in the WNBA at Scotiabank Arena on Saturday, starting at 2:00 PM ET.

Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced WNBA model predicts the Tempo as the most likely winner of the Mercury vs. Tempo game.

The Tempo, who have stars like Marina Mabrey, Isabelle Harrison and Maria Conde, will face off against the Mercury, who feature Kahleah Copper, Valeriane Ayayi and DeWanna Bonner.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.

Mercury vs. Tempo prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's WNBA matchup between the Mercury and Tempo, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model gives the Tempo a 71.2% chance of defeating the Mercury.

According to our model, the Tempo (-5.5) have a 50.5% chance of covering the spread, while the 178.5-point over/under has a 66.1% chance of staying under,.

Mercury vs. Tempo odds

We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Mercury	Tempo
Spread	+5.5 (-106)	-5.5 (-112)
Moneyline	+185	-218
Total	o178.5 (-110)	u178.5 (-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Mercury vs. Tempo picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Mercury +5.5	-106
Moneyline	Tempo	-218
Total	Under 178.5	-110

According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 178.5 total points.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Mercury vs. Tempo player props

WNBA player props are a popular way to wager on the Phoenix vs. Toronto game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Scotiabank Arena.

Kahleah Copper is expected to lead the Mercury with 16 points, 4 rebounds and 1 assists, while Marina Mabrey is projected to have 19 points, 4 rebounds and 4 assists for the Tempo.

For early game action, the data identifies Marina Mabrey as the most probable player to secure the first basket.

Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.

Mercury prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Mercury are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Kahleah Copper	16	4	1	1	27
Valeriane Ayayi	13	7	3	1	30
DeWanna Bonner	12	6	1	1	25
Alexa Held	10	3	2	1	21
Noemie Brochant	9	3	3	2	22

Tempo prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Tempo:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Marina Mabrey	19	4	4	3	36
I. Harrison	11	6	1	1	25
Maria Conde	9	5	2	2	21
Laura Juskaite	9	4	2	1	21
Nyara Sabally	7	5	1	0	20

Mercury vs. Tempo game-day updates and essential details

Saturday's action between the Tempo and Mercury at Scotiabank Arena is scheduled to start at 2:00 PM ET.

• Who: Phoenix Mercury vs. Toronto Tempo
• Date: Saturday, June 27, 2026
• Time: 2:00 PM ET/11:00AM PT
• Venue: Scotiabank Arena

Conclusion

We predict the Tempo, with a 71.2% win probability, will likely beat the Mercury in Saturday's WNBA matchup.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.