May 19, 2026
WNBA player props today: Tuesday's best props include Jovana Nogic [5/19/2026]
Read Article Tempo vs. Mercury prediction: Why Phoenix is favored to win Tuesday's WNBA matchup [5/19/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Mac Douglass, Senior Editor
Get Toronto Tempo vs Phoenix Mercury predictions for WNBA Tuesday.
The Phoenix Mercury and Toronto Tempo will meet in the WNBA at Mortgage Matchup Center on Tuesday, with tipoff at 10:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced WNBA model predicts the Mercury as the most likely winner of the Tempo vs. Mercury game.
The Mercury, who have star players such as Kahleah Copper, Alyssa Thomas and Jovana Nogic, will face off against the Tempo, featuring Brittney Sykes, Marina Mabrey and Laura Juskaite.
This article offers further insights into Tuesday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Tempo vs. Mercury prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Tuesday's WNBA game between the Tempo and Mercury, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Mercury a 77% chance of beating the Tempo.
According to our model, the bookies have got it right, and the Tempo and Mercury each have a 50% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 169.5 points has a 52% chance of going over.
Tempo vs. Mercury odds
We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Tempo | Mercury |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +7.5 (-105) | -7.5 (-114) |
| Moneyline | +260 | -310 |
| Total | o169.5 (-108) | u169.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Tempo vs. Mercury picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Tempo +7.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Mercury | -310 |
| Total | Over 169.5 | -108 |
According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Mercury to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Tempo vs. Mercury player props
Looking for Toronto vs. Phoenix WNBA player props? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Mortgage Matchup Center.
Brittney Sykes is expected to lead the Tempo with 16 points, 4 rebounds and 4 assists, while Kahleah Copper is projected to have 18 points, 4 rebounds and 2 assists for the Mercury.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's WNBA first basket picks.
Tempo prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Tempo are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brittney Sykes | 16 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 33 |
| Marina Mabrey | 14 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 28 |
| Laura Juskaite | 12 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 29 |
| Kiki Rice | 12 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 26 |
| Maria Conde | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 19 |
Mercury prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Mercury:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kahleah Copper | 18 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 30 |
| Alyssa Thomas | 17 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 48 |
| Jovana Nogic | 16 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 26 |
| DeWanna Bonner | 14 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 29 |
| Natasha Mack | 8 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 27 |
Tempo vs. Mercury game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's game between the Mercury and Tempo at Mortgage Matchup Center is scheduled to begin at 10:00 PM ET.
- Who: Toronto Tempo vs. Phoenix Mercury
- Date: Tuesday, May 19, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
- Venue: Mortgage Matchup Center
Conclusion
We predict the Mercury, with a 77% win probability, will likely beat the Tempo in Tuesday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.
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