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Read Article WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Saturday, June 13, 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get first basket predictions today backed by expert analysis of WNBA slate on 6/13.
Our WNBA first basket picks and predictions for today—Saturday, June 13, 2026—are live with the Aces' A'ja Wilson projected as the most likely player to score first.
These projections draw on detailed first basket stats, including player efficiency, shot frequency, and expected starting lineups, forming part of our daily WNBA player projections.
Wilson, Kelsey Plum and Natasha Howard lead Saturday’s most likely first basket scorers, while we also highlight tonight's best first basket value picks by comparing real-time odds to model-generated probabilities.
WNBA first basket predictions tonight (June 13, 2026)
| Player (Team) | FB Probability |
|---|---|
| A'ja Wilson (Aces) | 16.6% |
| Kelsey Plum (Sparks) | 13.9% |
| Natasha Howard (Lynx) | 13.7% |
| Megan Gustafson (Fire) | 13.2% |
| Aliyah Boston (Fever) | 13.2% |
| Paige Bueckers (Wings) | 13.1% |
| Alyssa Thomas (Mercury) | 13.1% |
| Brittney Griner (Sun) | 13.0% |
| Courtney Williams (Lynx) | 12.8% |
| Kelsey Mitchell (Fever) | 12.1% |
| Kahleah Copper (Mercury) | 12.0% |
| Aaliyah Edwards (Sun) | 11.2% |
| Caitlin Clark (Fever) | 11.1% |
| Nneka Ogwumike (Sparks) | 10.9% |
| Leila Lacan (Sun) | 10.9% |
| Carla Leite (Fire) | 10.7% |
| NaLyssa Smith (Aces) | 10.6% |
| Dearica Hamby (Sparks) | 10.4% |
| Azzi Fudd (Wings) | 10.2% |
| Jackie Young (Aces) | 10.2% |
| Olivia Miles (Lynx) | 10.1% |
| Jessica Shepard (Wings) | 10.0% |
| Maddy Siegrist (Wings) | 9.7% |
| Sarah Ashlee Barker (Fire) | 9.5% |
| Monique Akoa-Makani (Mercury) | 9.4% |
| Emily Engstler (Fire) | 8.5% |
| Bridget Carleton (Fire) | 8.1% |
| DeWanna Bonner (Mercury) | 8.0% |
| Saniya Rivers (Sun) | 8.0% |
| Chelsea Gray (Aces) | 7.9% |
| Sophie Cunningham (Fever) | 7.7% |
| Rae Burrell (Sparks) | 7.6% |
| Noemie Brochant (Mercury) | 7.5% |
| Ariel Atkins (Sparks) | 7.2% |
| Arike Ogunbowale (Wings) | 7.0% |
| Kennedy Burke (Sun) | 6.9% |
| Kayla McBride (Lynx) | 6.9% |
| Nia Coffey (Lynx) | 6.4% |
| Lexie Hull (Fever) | 5.9% |
| Jewell Loyd (Aces) | 4.8% |
WNBA first basket picks today (June 13, 2026)
| Player | Team | Edge | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Gustafson | Fire | 4.9% | +1100 | 13.2% |
| Courtney Williams | Lynx | 3.7% | +1000 | 12.8% |
| Caitlin Clark | Fever | 2.0% | +1000 | 11.1% |
| Chelsea Gray | Aces | 2.0% | +1600 | 7.9% |
| Kelsey Plum | Sparks | 1.4% | +700 | 13.9% |
| Kelsey Mitchell | Fever | 1.0% | +800 | 12.1% |
| Azzi Fudd | Wings | 0.7% | +950 | 10.2% |
| Saniya Rivers | Sun | 0.3% | +1200 | 8.0% |
| Maddy Siegrist | Wings | 0.2% | +950 | 9.7% |
| Aaliyah Edwards | Sun | 0.1% | +800 | 11.2% |
Edges represent the difference between model probability and implied odds.
For more insights on prop markets and value plays across the league, explore our full list of NBA prop bets for 6/13.
Conclusion: Betting on today's NBA first basket
For Saturday, June 13, 2026, A'ja Wilson, Kelsey Plum and Natasha Howard lead our first basket projections, while Megan Gustafson shapes as the strongest value play at +1100. All picks and predictions are derived from Dimers’ WNBA first basket model.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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