Jul 5, 2026
WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Sunday, July 5, 2026
Read Article WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Tuesday, June 23, 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get first basket predictions today driven by expert analysis of WNBA slate on 6/23.
Our WNBA first basket picks and predictions for today—Tuesday, June 23, 2026—are live with the Aces' A'ja Wilson projected as the most likely player to score first.
Dimers’ first basket projections derive insights from key first basket stats, including player efficiency, shot frequency, and expected starting lineups, forming part of our daily WNBA player projections.
Wilson, Satou Sabally and Jackie Young lead Tuesday’s most likely first basket scorers, while we also highlight tonight's best first basket value picks by comparing real-time odds to model-generated probabilities.
WNBA first basket predictions tonight (June 23, 2026)
| Player (Team) | FB Probability |
|---|---|
| A'ja Wilson (Aces) | 15.5% |
| Satou Sabally (Liberty) | 14.0% |
| Jackie Young (Aces) | 11.6% |
| Breanna Stewart (Liberty) | 11.3% |
| NaLyssa Smith (Aces) | 10.8% |
| Jonquel Jones (Liberty) | 10.3% |
| Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty) | 8.1% |
| Chelsea Gray (Aces) | 6.4% |
| Leonie Fiebich (Liberty) | 6.4% |
| Jewell Loyd (Aces) | 5.7% |
WNBA first basket picks today (June 23, 2026)
| Player | Team | Edge | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Satou Sabally | Liberty | 3.4% | +850 | 14.0% |
| Chelsea Gray | Aces | 0.9% | +1700 | 6.4% |
| Jackie Young | Aces | 0.5% | +800 | 11.6% |
| NaLyssa Smith | Aces | 0.2% | +850 | 10.8% |
Edges represent the difference between model probability and implied odds.
For more insights on prop markets and value plays across the league, explore our full list of NBA prop bets for 6/23.
Conclusion: Betting on today's NBA first basket
For Tuesday, June 23, 2026, A'ja Wilson, Satou Sabally and Jackie Young lead our first basket projections, with Sabally shaping as the strongest value play at +850. All picks and predictions are derived from Dimers’ WNBA first basket model.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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