Week 10 of the NFL season kicks off under the lights in Denver, where the Las Vegas Raiders visit the Denver Broncos in an AFC West clash at Empower Field at Mile High.
For bettors, Bet365 is highlighting J.K. Dobbins in the touchdown markets ahead of Thursday Night Football. The veteran running back is priced at
, making him one of the top early-game prop targets of the night.
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Bet365 Bet: J.K. Dobbins First Touchdown Scorer (+400)
Dobbins has been heavily involved in Denver’s early drives since returning to form, and his workload near the goal line has made him a high-value pick for first touchdown bettors.
- Player:
J.K. Dobbins (Denver Broncos)
- Market:
First Touchdown Scorer
- Odds:
+400
- Payout Example:
$10 wager returns $50 total
With Denver averaging more than 130 rushing yards per game and Dobbins handling the bulk of red-zone carries, he’s expected to feature prominently against a Raiders defense allowing 4.6 yards per rush this season.
Odds correct at the time of publication and subject to change.
Game Details: Raiders Vs. Broncos
- Teams:
Las Vegas Raiders vs. Denver Broncos
- Date:
Thursday, November 6, 2025
- Kickoff:
8:15 p.m. EST
- Location:
Empower Field at Mile High
- Spread:
Raiders +9.5 (-110) | Broncos -9.5 (-105)
- Moneyline:
Raiders +385 | Broncos -475
- Total:
Over/Under 42.5 (-108/-102)
The odds and lines presented here are the best available from selected sportsbooks at the time of publication.
Expert Prediction: Raiders Vs. Broncos
According to Dimers, which simulated this game 10,000 times, the
Broncos
have an
80% chance of winning, while the
Raiders (+9.5)
hold a 55% chance of covering the spread.
Dimers’ model also projects a 54% chance the total stays under 42.5, suggesting a slower-paced, run-heavy game that could benefit Denver’s backfield and create first-touchdown opportunities for Dobbins.
Raiders Vs. Broncos Best Bet
The top pick for Thursday’s matchup is Under 42.5 points (-102), supported by both data and current team trends.
However,
provides a focused prop angle that aligns with Denver’s offensive rhythm at home.
If the Broncos score first—and the model gives them a 73% chance of doing so—Dobbins is the likeliest candidate to find the end zone.
Score Prediction for Raiders Vs. Broncos
Projected final score:
Broncos 24, Raiders 16.
Dimers’ model expects Denver’s defense to control the tempo and Dobbins to lead the ground game in a methodical Thursday night win.
NFL Player Props: Thursday
Las Vegas Raiders
First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- Ashton Jeanty – 11.3% probability
- Brock Bowers – 8.1% probability
- Tre Tucker – 5.0% probability
Anytime Touchdown Predictions
- Ashton Jeanty – 45.9% probability
- Brock Bowers – 35.6% probability
- Tre Tucker – 23.8% probability
Projected Box Score Leaders
- QB Passing Yards: Geno Smith – 213 yards
- Receiving Yards: Brock Bowers – 64 yards
- Rushing Yards: Ashton Jeanty – 57 yards
Denver Broncos
First Touchdown Scorer Predictions
- J.K. Dobbins – 11.0% probability
- Courtland Sutton – 8.0% probability
- Troy Franklin – 6.6% probability
Anytime Touchdown Predictions
- J.K. Dobbins – 46.3% probability
- Courtland Sutton – 36.2% probability
- Troy Franklin – 31.0% probability
Projected Box Score Leaders
- QB Passing Yards: Bo Nix – 229 yards
- Receiving Yards: Courtland Sutton – 59 yards
- Rushing Yards: J.K. Dobbins – 74 yards
NFL Week 10: Raiders Vs. Broncos
Thursday’s AFC West matchup between the
Raiders and Broncos
kicks off at
8:15 p.m. EST
at Empower Field at Mile High. All NFL predictions and best bets in this preview are derived from
10,000 data-driven simulations
by Dimers.com and are accurate at the time of publication to help bettors make informed decisions at online sportsbooks.
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