Thursday Night Football features an NFC showdown between the
Dallas Cowboys
and the
Detroit Lions
at Ford Field. In a matchup expected to be high-scoring,
on Lions quarterback,
Jared Goff, to hit the 300-yard mark.
While the Dimers model projects Goff for 252 yards, the
+300 odds
offer a significant high-payout opportunity for bettors expecting a strong aerial attack in a crucial primetime battle.
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Bet365 Prop: Jared Goff 300+ Passing Yards (+300)
The prop targets the Lions' quarterback to air it out in a game projected to have one of the highest totals of the week.
- The Player Prop:
Jared Goff 300+ Passing Yards
- Team:
Detroit Lions
- Odds:
+300
- Performance Note:
Goff has hit the 300-yard mark once in his last five games, averaging 278.8 yards over that span. Alternate markets elsewhere have priced this prop up to +400.
Key information on the Cowboys vs. Lions matchup, including where the game is and what time it kicks off.
- Teams:
Dallas Cowboys vs. Detroit Lions
- Date:
Thursday, December 4, 2025
- Kickoff:
8:15 p.m. EST
- Location:
Ford Field
- Spread:
Cowboys +3 (-108) | Lions -3 (-105)
- Moneyline:
Cowboys +140 | Lions -154
- Total:
Over/Under 54.5 (-110/-108)
The odds and lines presented in this article are the best available from selected sports betting sites at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Expert Prediction: Cowboys Vs. Lions
Leveraging advanced data analysis and computer power, the experts at Dimers have performed 10,000 simulations of Thursday's matchup.
- Model Win Probability:
The Lions are more likely to defeat the Cowboys, with a
60% chance of winning
the game.
- Top Value Bet:
Our top pick is to bet on
Under 54.5 points (-108), which has a 53% chance of staying under.
- Spread Projection:
The Cowboys and Lions each have a
50% chance of covering
the spread.
Score Prediction for Cowboys Vs. Lions
NFL Player Props: Passing and Rushing Leaders
The projected box score leaders are close to the threshold for Goff, but point to a heavy passing environment.
Detroit Lions Player Projections
- Projected QB Passing Yards:
Jared Goff, 252 yards
- Receiving Yards Leader:
Jameson Williams, 84 yards
- Rushing Yards Leader:
Jahmyr Gibbs, 83 yards
- First TD Scorer Favorite:
Jahmyr Gibbs, 12.7% probability
- Anytime TD Scorer Favorite:
Jahmyr Gibbs, 64.8% probability
Dallas Cowboys Player Projections
- Projected QB Passing Yards:
Dak Prescott, 274 yards
- Receiving Yards Leader:
CeeDee Lamb, 86 yards
- Rushing Yards Leader:
Javonte Williams, 72 yards
- First TD Scorer Favorite:
Javonte Williams, 11.2% probability
- Anytime TD Scorer Favorite:
Javonte Williams, 54.4% probability
Cowboys Vs. Lions Best Bet
The model's strongest play on the standard market is the
Under 54.5 points (-108). However, for a high-reward prop, the
offers excellent value. Given the 54.5-point total and Goff's recent performance averaging nearly 280 yards per game, the +300 odds are very tempting if the game becomes a shootout that pushes the passing volume higher than the model's conservative projection.
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