Jun 11, 2026
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Read Article Sky vs. Fever prediction: Caitlin Clark projected to score 19 points in Thursday's WNBA matchup [6/11/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Chicago Sky vs Indiana Fever predictions for WNBA Thursday.
The Indiana Fever will face the Chicago Sky in WNBA action at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on Thursday, starting at 7:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven WNBA model predicts the Fever as the most likely winner of the Sky vs. Fever game.
The Fever, who have the likes of Kelsey Mitchell, Caitlin Clark and Aliyah Boston, will face off against the Sky, who feature Kamilla Cardoso, Skylar Diggins-Smith and Azura Stevens.
Clark, the hoops superstar making headlines with the Fever, is expected to shine with a projected 19 points and 3 threes.
This article offers further insights into Thursday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Sky vs. Fever prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's WNBA game between the Sky and Fever, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Fever a 78.1% chance of defeating the Sky.
According to our model, the Sky (+10.5) have a 57.2% chance of covering the spread, while the 172.5-point over/under has a 58.0% chance of staying under,.
Sky vs. Fever odds
We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Sky | Fever |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +10.5 (-110) | -10.5 (-102) |
| Moneyline | +375 | -450 |
| Total | o172.5 (-108) | u172.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Sky vs. Fever picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Sky +10.5 | -110 |
| Moneyline | Sky | +375 |
| Total | Under 172.5 | -105 |
According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 172.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Sky vs. Fever player props
Looking for Sky vs. Fever WNBA prop bets? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Gainbridge Fieldhouse.
Kamilla Cardoso is expected to lead the Sky with 16 points, 9 rebounds and 3 assists, while Kelsey Mitchell is projected to have 23 points, 2 rebounds and 3 assists for the Fever.
For early game action, the data identifies Kelsey Mitchell as the most probable player to secure the first basket.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.
Sky prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Sky are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kamilla Cardoso | 16 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 37 |
| S. Diggins-Smith | 15 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 32 |
| Azura Stevens | 10 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 25 |
| Natasha Cloud | 10 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 25 |
| E. Williams | 8 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 21 |
Fever prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Fever:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Mitchell | 23 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 35 |
| Caitlin Clark | 19 | 5 | 8 | 3 | 45 |
| Aliyah Boston | 15 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 36 |
| S. Cunningham | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 |
| Lexie Hull | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 17 |
Sky vs. Fever game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's action between the Fever and Sky at Gainbridge Fieldhouse is scheduled to start at 7:00 PM ET.
- Who: Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever
- Date: Thursday, June 11, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse
Conclusion
We predict the Fever, with a 78.1% win probability, will likely beat the Sky in Thursday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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