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Read Article Sun vs. Tempo prediction: Why Toronto is favored to win Wednesday's WNBA matchup [6/10/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Connecticut Sun vs Toronto Tempo predictions for WNBA Wednesday.
The Toronto Tempo will square off with the Connecticut Sun in WNBA action at Coca-Cola Coliseum on Wednesday, starting at 7:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced WNBA model predicts the Tempo as the most likely winner of the Sun vs. Tempo game.
The Tempo, powered by Brittney Sykes, Marina Mabrey and Nyara Sabally, are set to take on the Sun, who feature Aaliyah Edwards, Leila Lacan and Olivia Nelson-Ododa.
This article offers a closer look at Wednesday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Sun vs. Tempo prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's WNBA game between the Sun and Tempo, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Tempo an 81.3% chance of beating the Sun.
According to our model, the Tempo (-8.5) have a 53.1% chance of covering the spread, while the 166.5-point over/under has a 56.2% chance of staying under.
Sun vs. Tempo odds
We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Sun | Tempo |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +8.5 (-108) | -8.5 (-108) |
| Moneyline | +300 | -375 |
| Total | o166.5 (-114) | u166.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Sun vs. Tempo picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Tempo -8.5 | -108 |
| Moneyline | Tempo | -375 |
| Total | Under 166.5 | -105 |
According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 166.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Sun vs. Tempo player props
Betting on Sun vs. Tempo WNBA prop bets? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Coca-Cola Coliseum.
Aaliyah Edwards is expected to lead the Sun with 10 points, 6 rebounds and 1 assists, while Brittney Sykes is projected to have 16 points, 4 rebounds and 4 assists for the Tempo.
Looking at the opening tip, the numbers point to Marina Mabrey striking first with a 13.6% probability.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.
Sun prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Sun are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaliyah Edwards | 10 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 24 |
| Leila Lacan | 10 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 24 |
| O. Nelson-Ododa | 9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 22 |
| Diamond Miller | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 19 |
| Saniya Rivers | 8 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 23 |
Tempo prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Tempo:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brittney Sykes | 16 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 33 |
| Marina Mabrey | 15 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 30 |
| Nyara Sabally | 11 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 28 |
| Laura Juskaite | 9 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 21 |
| I. Harrison | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 19 |
Sun vs. Tempo game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's matchup between the Tempo and Sun at Coca-Cola Coliseum is scheduled to start at 7:00 PM ET.
- Who: Connecticut Sun vs. Toronto Tempo
- Date: Wednesday, June 10, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Coca-Cola Coliseum
Conclusion
We predict the Tempo, with an 81.3% win probability, will likely beat the Sun in Wednesday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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