Jun 11, 2026
Best WNBA bets today: Thursday's picks include Liberty vs. Dream play [6/11/2026]
Read Article Liberty vs. Dream prediction: Why Atlanta is favored to win Thursday's WNBA game [6/11/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get New York Liberty vs Atlanta Dream predictions for WNBA Thursday.
The Atlanta Dream and New York Liberty will lock horns in the WNBA at Gateway Center Arena on Thursday, starting at 7:30 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven WNBA model predicts the Dream as the most likely winner of the Liberty vs. Dream game.
The Dream, who have star players like Allisha Gray, Rhyne Howard and Angel Reese, are set to take on the Liberty, who feature Breanna Stewart, Jonquel Jones and Satou Sabally.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Thursday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Liberty vs. Dream prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Thursday's WNBA game between the Liberty and Dream, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Dream a 69.4% chance of beating the Liberty.
According to our model, the Dream (-3.5) have a 56.0% chance of covering the spread, while the 164.5-point over/under has a 51.0% chance of going over,.
Liberty vs. Dream odds
We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Liberty | Dream |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +3.5 (-106) | -3.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | +135 | -155 |
| Total | o164.5 (-110) | u164.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Liberty vs. Dream picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Dream -3.5 | -110 |
| Moneyline | Dream | -155 |
| Total | Over 164.5 | -110 |
According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Dream to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Liberty vs. Dream player props
WNBA prop bets are a great way to wager on the Liberty vs. Dream game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Gateway Center Arena.
Breanna Stewart is expected to lead the Liberty with 19 points, 7 rebounds and 3 assists, while Allisha Gray is projected to have 19 points, 6 rebounds and 3 assists for the Dream.
Shifting focus to the first basket market, our projections highlight Breanna Stewart as the most likely player to open the scoring.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.
Liberty prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Liberty are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Breanna Stewart | 19 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 40 |
| Jonquel Jones | 14 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 34 |
| Satou Sabally | 11 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 22 |
| Pauline Astier | 10 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 21 |
| Marine Johannes | 9 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 19 |
Dream prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Dream:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Allisha Gray | 19 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 35 |
| Rhyne Howard | 18 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 37 |
| Angel Reese | 15 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 42 |
| Jordin Canada | 12 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 32 |
| Naz Hillmon | 10 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 27 |
Liberty vs. Dream game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's action between the Dream and Liberty at Gateway Center Arena is scheduled to begin at 7:30 PM ET.
- Who: New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream
- Date: Thursday, June 11, 2026
- Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
- Venue: Gateway Center Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Dream, with a 69.4% win probability, will likely beat the Liberty in Thursday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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