Jul 7, 2026
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Read Article Wings vs. Liberty prediction: Paige Bueckers projected to score 20 points in Tuesday's WNBA game [7/7/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Dallas Wings vs New York Liberty predictions for WNBA Tuesday.
The New York Liberty and Dallas Wings will lock horns in the WNBA at Barclays Center on Tuesday, starting at 8:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven WNBA model predicts the Liberty as the most likely winner of the Wings vs. Liberty game.
The Liberty, led by Breanna Stewart, Sabrina Ionescu and Jonquel Jones, are set to take on the Wings, who feature Paige Bueckers, Azzi Fudd and Arike Ogunbowale.
Bueckers, the star point guard for the Wings, is expected to deliver a standout performance with a projected 20 points and 1 threes.
This article offers further insights into Tuesday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Wings vs. Liberty prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Tuesday's WNBA matchup between the Wings and Liberty, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Liberty a 73.0% chance of beating the Wings.
According to our model, the Liberty (-4.5) have a 57.5% chance of covering the spread, while the 175.5-point over/under has a 64.3% chance of staying under,.
Wings vs. Liberty odds
We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Wings | Liberty |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +4.5 (-106) | -4.5 (-105) |
| Moneyline | +155 | -180 |
| Total | o175.5 (-106) | u175.5 (-112) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Wings vs. Liberty picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Liberty -4.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Liberty | -180 |
| Total | Under 175.5 | -112 |
According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 175.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Wings vs. Liberty player props
Looking for Dallas vs. New York WNBA prop bets? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Barclays Center.
Paige Bueckers is expected to lead the Wings with 20 points, 4 rebounds and 6 assists, while Breanna Stewart is projected to have 19 points, 8 rebounds and 3 assists for the Liberty.
Shifting focus to the first basket market, our projections highlight Paige Bueckers as the most likely player to open the scoring.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.
Wings prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Wings are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paige Bueckers | 20 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 37 |
| Azzi Fudd | 15 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 28 |
| A. Ogunbowale | 13 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 24 |
| Jessica Shepard | 12 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 34 |
| Maddy Siegrist | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 |
Liberty prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Liberty:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Breanna Stewart | 19 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 40 |
| Sabrina Ionescu | 17 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 37 |
| Jonquel Jones | 14 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 33 |
| Pauline Astier | 12 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 28 |
| Leonie Fiebich | 9 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 20 |
Wings vs. Liberty game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's game between the Liberty and Wings at Barclays Center is scheduled to commence at 8:00 PM ET.
- Who: Dallas Wings vs. New York Liberty
- Date: Tuesday, July 7, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: Barclays Center
Conclusion
We predict the Liberty, with a 73.0% win probability, will likely beat the Wings in Tuesday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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