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Read Article Fever vs. Sparks prediction: Caitlin Clark projected to score 17 points in Wednesday's WNBA matchup [7/8/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Indiana Fever vs Los Angeles Sparks predictions for WNBA Wednesday.
The Los Angeles Sparks and Indiana Fever are scheduled to meet in the WNBA at Crypto.com Arena on Wednesday, starting at 10:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven WNBA model projects the Fever as the most likely winner of the Fever vs. Sparks game.
The Sparks, who have the likes of Dearica Hamby, Nneka Ogwumike and Rae Burrell, will face off against the Fever, whose lineup includes Kelsey Mitchell, Caitlin Clark and Aliyah Boston.
Clark, the Fever's No. 1 pick in the 2024 WNBA draft, is expected to deliver a standout performance with a projected 17 points and 3 threes.
This article offers further insights into Wednesday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Fever vs. Sparks prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Wednesday's WNBA game between the Fever and Sparks, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Fever a 77.5% chance of defeating the Sparks.
According to our model, the Fever (-6.5) have a 55.2% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 182.5 points has a 71.3% chance of staying under,.
Fever vs. Sparks odds
We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Fever | Sparks |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -6.5 (-110) | +6.5 (-108) |
| Moneyline | -265 | +220 |
| Total | o182.5 (-110) | u182.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Fever vs. Sparks picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Fever -6.5 | -110 |
| Moneyline | Fever | -265 |
| Total | Under 182.5 | -105 |
According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 182.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Fever vs. Sparks player props
WNBA player props are a popular way to wager on Wednesday's Indiana vs. Los Angeles matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Crypto.com Arena.
Kelsey Mitchell is expected to lead the Fever with 24 points, 2 rebounds and 4 assists, while Dearica Hamby is projected to have 18 points, 7 rebounds and 3 assists for the Sparks.
Looking at the opening tip, the numbers point to Nneka Ogwumike striking first with a 14% probability.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.
Fever prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Fever are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelsey Mitchell | 24 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 36 |
| Caitlin Clark | 17 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 39 |
| Aliyah Boston | 17 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 41 |
| M. Billings | 8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 21 |
| S. Cunningham | 8 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 16 |
Sparks prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Sparks:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dearica Hamby | 18 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 36 |
| Nneka Ogwumike | 18 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 33 |
| Rae Burrell | 11 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 20 |
| Ariel Atkins | 10 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 23 |
| Erica Wheeler | 9 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 20 |
Fever vs. Sparks game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's action between the Sparks and Fever at Crypto.com Arena is scheduled to begin at 10:00 PM ET.
- Who: Indiana Fever vs. Los Angeles Sparks
- Date: Wednesday, July 8, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
- Venue: Crypto.com Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Fever, with a 77.5% win probability, will likely beat the Sparks in Wednesday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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