Jul 8, 2026
Fever vs. Sparks prediction: Caitlin Clark projected to score 17 points in Wednesday's WNBA matchup [7/8/2026]
Read Article WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Wednesday, July 8, 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Damien Souness, Chief Experience Officer
Get first basket predictions today backed by expert analysis of WNBA slate on 7/8.
Our WNBA first basket picks and predictions for today—Wednesday, July 8, 2026—are live with the Valkyries' Gabby Williams projected as the most likely player to score first.
Dimers’ first basket projections draw on detailed first basket stats, including player efficiency, shot frequency, and expected starting lineups, forming part of our daily WNBA player projections.
Williams, Marina Mabrey and Nneka Ogwumike lead Wednesday’s most likely first basket scorers, while we also highlight tonight's top first basket value picks by comparing real-time odds to model-generated probabilities.
WNBA first basket predictions tonight (July 8, 2026)
| Player (Team) | FB Probability |
|---|---|
| Gabby Williams (Valkyries) | 17.9% |
| Marina Mabrey (Tempo) | 15.7% |
| Nneka Ogwumike (Sparks) | 14.0% |
| Natasha Howard (Lynx) | 13.7% |
| Courtney Williams (Lynx) | 13.3% |
| Brittney Griner (Sun) | 13.3% |
| Dearica Hamby (Sparks) | 12.3% |
| Kelsey Mitchell (Fever) | 12.3% |
| Kayla McBride (Lynx) | 12.2% |
| Caitlin Clark (Fever) | 12.0% |
| Aliyah Boston (Fever) | 11.8% |
| Isabelle Harrison (Tempo) | 11.4% |
| Olivia Nelson-Ododa (Sun) | 11.3% |
| Nyara Sabally (Tempo) | 11.0% |
| Kaila Charles (Valkyries) | 10.6% |
| Rae Burrell (Sparks) | 10.4% |
| Veronica Burton (Valkyries) | 9.9% |
| Leila Lacan (Sun) | 9.7% |
| Charlisse Leger-Walker (Sun) | 7.9% |
| Ariel Atkins (Sparks) | 7.8% |
| Kennedy Burke (Sun) | 7.8% |
| Sophie Cunningham (Fever) | 7.0% |
| Monique Billings (Fever) | 6.8% |
| Nia Coffey (Lynx) | 6.8% |
| Kayla Thornton (Valkyries) | 6.7% |
| Maria Conde (Tempo) | 6.5% |
| Erica Wheeler (Sparks) | 5.5% |
| Julie Allemand (Tempo) | 5.5% |
| Kiah Stokes (Valkyries) | 5.0% |
| Dorka Juhasz (Lynx) | 4.0% |
WNBA first basket picks today (July 8, 2026)
| Player | Team | Edge | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtney Williams | Lynx | 4.2% | +1000 | 13.3% |
| Kayla McBride | Lynx | 3.1% | +1000 | 12.2% |
| Gabby Williams | Valkyries | 2.5% | +550 | 17.9% |
| Charlisse Leger-Walker | Sun | 1.9% | +1560 | 7.9% |
| Dearica Hamby | Sparks | 1.2% | +800 | 12.3% |
| Marina Mabrey | Tempo | 0.9% | +577 | 15.7% |
| Monique Billings | Fever | 0.6% | +1500 | 6.8% |
| Julie Allemand | Tempo | 0.5% | +1900 | 5.5% |
| Rae Burrell | Sparks | 0.4% | +900 | 10.4% |
| Natasha Howard | Lynx | 0.4% | +650 | 13.7% |
| Isabelle Harrison | Tempo | 0.3% | +800 | 11.4% |
Edges represent the difference between model probability and implied odds.
For more insights on prop markets and value plays across the league, explore our full list of NBA prop bets for 7/8.
Conclusion: Betting on today's NBA first basket
For Wednesday, July 8, 2026, Gabby Williams, Marina Mabrey and Nneka Ogwumike lead our first basket projections, while Courtney Williams shapes as the strongest value play at +1000. All picks and predictions are derived from Dimers’ WNBA first basket model.
For tips and resources on responsible wagering, visit our Responsible Gambling section.
Damien Souness is Chief Experience Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, helping lead sports media brands such as Dimers. He specializes in creating trustworthy and data-driven content for sports fans, with experience working for globally recognized sports and media organizations.
Advertiser disclosure
