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Read Article Lynx vs. Sun prediction: Why Minnesota is favored to win Wednesday's WNBA matchup [7/8/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get Minnesota Lynx vs Connecticut Sun predictions for WNBA Wednesday.
The Connecticut Sun will face the favored Minnesota Lynx in WNBA action at Mohegan Sun Arena on Wednesday, starting at 7:30 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven WNBA model projects the Lynx as the most likely winner of the Lynx vs. Sun game.
The Sun, with stars such as Brittney Griner, Leila Lacan and Olivia Nelson-Ododa, will face off against the Lynx, featuring Kayla McBride, Courtney Williams and Natasha Howard.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Wednesday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Lynx vs. Sun prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Wednesday's WNBA matchup between the Lynx and Sun, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Lynx a 72.0% chance of beating the Sun.
According to our model, the Sun (+6.5) have a 51.3% chance of covering the spread, while the 167.5-point over/under has a 61.5% chance of staying under,.
Lynx vs. Sun odds
We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Lynx | Sun |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -6.5 (-110) | +6.5 (-104) |
| Moneyline | -290 | +240 |
| Total | o167.5 (-108) | u167.5 (-112) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Lynx vs. Sun picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Sun +6.5 | -104 |
| Moneyline | Sun | +240 |
| Total | Under 167.5 | -112 |
According to our best WNBA bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 167.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Lynx vs. Sun player props
WNBA prop bets are an enjoyable way to wager on the Minnesota vs. Connecticut matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Mohegan Sun Arena.
Kayla McBride is expected to lead the Lynx with 17 points, 3 rebounds and 3 assists, while Brittney Griner is projected to have 15 points, 7 rebounds and 2 assists for the Sun.
Shifting focus to the first basket market, our projections highlight Natasha Howard as the most likely player to open the scoring.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.
Lynx prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Lynx are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayla McBride | 17 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 32 |
| C. Williams | 16 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 36 |
| Natasha Howard | 15 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 35 |
| Nia Coffey | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 25 |
| Dorka Juhasz | 7 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 21 |
Sun prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Sun:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brittney Griner | 15 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 31 |
| Leila Lacan | 13 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 29 |
| O. Nelson-Ododa | 11 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 28 |
| Kennedy Burke | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 19 |
| Diamond Miller | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 16 |
Lynx vs. Sun game-day updates and essential details
Wednesday's action between the Sun and Lynx at Mohegan Sun Arena is scheduled to commence at 7:30 PM ET.
- Who: Minnesota Lynx vs. Connecticut Sun
- Date: Wednesday, July 8, 2026
- Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
- Venue: Mohegan Sun Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Lynx, with a 72.0% win probability, will likely beat the Sun in Wednesday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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