Rays vs. Red Sox Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Rays vs. Red Sox MLB game on May 10, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Rays
4
1
May 10, 5:35PM Fenway Park
Red Sox
May 10, 5:35PM Fenway Park
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Dimers Pro Best Bets
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Rays
1 0 2 0 0 1 0 0 0 4 8 0
Red Sox
0 0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 8 1
Live Probabilities
Moneyline
Over / Under
Run Line
Rays TB
Win %
100%
0%
Red Sox BOS
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Jarren Duran flies out to left field to Chandler Simpson.
Quick Box Score
Hitting
Pitching
Rays Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 C. Simpson LF4110000.2500.500
2 J. Caminero 3B4111101.2501.250
3 B. Williamson 2B2111020.5001.250
4 Y. Díaz DH4010000.2500.500
5 J. Aranda 1B2010000.5001.000
6 C. Mullins CF3011000.3330.666
7 J. DeLuca RF3000012.0000.250
8 N. Fortes C4110001.2500.500
9 T. Walls SS2000000.0000.000
Red Sox Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 J. Duran LF5010000.2000.400
2 A. Monasterio 1B3020000.6671.667
3 W. Abreu RF4000001.0000.000
4 C. Narváez DH1000001.0000.000
5 T. Story SS4110003.2500.750
6 M. Gasper C4031000.7502.000
7 M. Mayer 2B3000011.0000.250
8 C. Rafaela CF4000002.0000.000
9 C. Durbin 3B3000000.0000.250

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Rays vs. Red Sox: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Rays vs. Red Sox
  • Date: Sunday, May 10, 2026
  • Time: 1:35 PM ET
  • Venue: Fenway Park

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Red Sox favored at -1.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 8.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Rays +135, Red Sox -135

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Rays: 43%
  • Red Sox: 57%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Rays a win probability of 43%, while the Red Sox have a win probability of 57%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Red Sox are more likely to beat the Rays in the MLB game at Fenway Park on Sunday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Rays vs. Red Sox predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.

For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.