Phillies vs. Mariners: MLB Prediction & Analysis

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Phillies vs. Mariners MLB game on Monday, August 24, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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MLB
Phillies
Zack Wheeler 10-4, 2.92 ERA
2
9
T-Mobile Park
Mariners
Logan Gilbert 10-7, 3.35 ERA
T-Mobile Park
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RHE
Phillies
1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 5 1
Mariners
5 0 1 0 2 0 1 0 X 9 10 0
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Phillies
    0%
  • Mariners
    100%
Win Probability
Baseball infield diamond diagram
Last At Bat
Outs
Brandon Marsh strikes out swinging.
Quick Box Score
Phillies Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 K. Schwarber DH3100011.0000.250
2 T. Turner SS4000002.0000.000
3 B. Harper RF3020010.6671.417
4 L. Arraez 2B4010000.2500.500
5 A. Bohm 1B4001001.0000.000
6 B. Stott 3B4010002.2500.500
7 B. Marsh LF4000002.0000.000
8 J. Realmuto C3111100.3331.666
9 J. Crawford CF3000000.0000.000
Mariners Hitting
No.PlayerPosABRHRBIHRBBSOAVGOPS
1 R. Arozarena LF2100031.0000.600
2 D. Canzone RF5110002.2000.400
3 J. Rodríguez CF5223102.4001.400
4 J. Naylor 1B4030000.7501.500
5 T. Ward DH2100021.0000.500
6 C. Raleigh C33343101.0005.000
7 C. Young 2B4111100.2501.250
8 W. Wilson 3B4000003.0000.000
9 B. Rodden SS4000003.0000.000

Phillies vs. Mariners: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup overview: MLB Monday

  • Teams: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Seattle Mariners
  • Date: Monday, August 24, 2026
  • Time: 9:40PM ET
  • Venue: T-Mobile Park

Current betting odds

  • Spread: Phillies (-1.5, +165), Mariners (+1.5, -170)
  • Moneyline: Phillies -111, Mariners +108
  • Total (Over/Under): 6.5 runs (-113/+111)

Dimers’ win probabilities

  • Phillies: 51.6%
  • Mariners: 48.4%

Dimers' predictive MLB model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Phillies a win probability of 51.6%, while the Mariners have a win probability of 48.4%.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Phillies are more likely to beat the Mariners in the MLB game at T-Mobile Park on Monday. Discover the best run line, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Phillies vs. Mariners predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert MLB predictions and the best MLB bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes MLB props, MLB futures, MLB odds, and the latest MLB news.