MLB player props today: Tuesday's best props include George Kirby [8/25/2026]

George Kirby under 2.5 earned runs (-135)

• Edge: 8.1%
• Probability: 65.6%
• Game: Phillies vs. Mariners (9:40PM ET)

Our model has flagged value on Seattle's George Kirby under 2.5 earned runs. A probability of 65.6% gives this play an edge of 8.1% at -135 odds.

Tyler Glasnow under 6.5 strikeouts (-130)

• Edge: 8.4%
• Probability: 65.0%
• Game: Dodgers vs. Braves (7:15PM ET)

Tyler Glasnow’s strikeouts prop shows a 65.0% probability and an 8.4% edge at -130 odds, according to our model.

Adrian Houser over 1.5 earned runs (-147)

• Edge: 4.5%
• Probability: 64.0%
• Game: Reds vs. Giants (9:45PM ET)

The data highlights value on Adrian Houser over 1.5 earned runs, with simulations showing a 64.0% probability and a 4.5% edge at -147.

Max Scherzer over 3.5 strikeouts (-148)

• Edge: 4.0%
• Probability: 63.7%
• Game: Royals vs. Blue Jays (7:07PM ET)

Our model finds value on Max Scherzer over 3.5 strikeouts, with a 63.7% probability and an edge of 4.0% at -148 odds.

Seth Lugo over 3.5 strikeouts (-120)

• Edge: 9.2%
• Probability: 63.7%
• Game: Royals vs. Blue Jays (7:07PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Seth Lugo over 3.5 strikeouts for Kansas City, showing an edge of 9.2% at -120 odds.

Adrian Houser over 4.5 hits allowed (-114)

• Edge: 9.9%
• Probability: 63.1%
• Game: Reds vs. Giants (9:45PM ET)

Adrian Houser’s hits allowed prop shows an edge of 9.9% at -114 odds, supported by a 63.1% probability according to our model.

Brandon Pfaadt under 17.5 outs recorded (-104)

• Edge: 8.2%
• Probability: 59.2%
• Game: Cubs vs. D-Backs (9:40PM ET)

Our model highlights value on Brandon Pfaadt under 17.5 outs recorded for Arizona, with a 59.2% probability and a 8.2% edge at -104 odds.

Ke'Bryan Hayes to get a hit (-130)

• Edge: 2.1%
• Probability: 58.6%
• Game: Reds vs. Giants (9:45PM ET)

The data shows value on Ke'Bryan Hayes to get a hit, supported by a 58.6% probability at -130 odds and an edge of 2.1%.

Max Muncy to get a hit (-115)

• Edge: 3.3%
• Probability: 56.8%
• Game: Twins vs. Athletics (9:40PM ET)

A 3.3% edge on the to get a hit line makes Max Muncy a value play in Twins vs. Athletics, supported by a 56.8% probability at -115 odds.

Clay Holmes over 3.5 strikeouts (+106)

• Edge: 8.2%
• Probability: 56.7%
• Game: Cubs vs. D-Backs (9:40PM ET)

Simulations show value on Clay Holmes over 3.5 strikeouts here, with a 56.7% probability and 8.2% edge at +106 odds.

MLB player prop summary: Tuesday, August 25, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 7:31AM ET:

Conclusion

For August 25, 2026, our MLB prop bets feature players such as George Kirby, Tyler Glasnow and Adrian Houser. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.