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Club Leon vs. Juarez prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [4/18/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Club Leon vs Juarez predictions for Liga MX Saturday.
Club Leon will take on Juarez in the Liga MX playoffs on Saturday, commencing at 11:06 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven Liga MX model projects Club Leon as the most likely winner of the Club Leon vs. Juarez game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.
Club Leon vs. Juarez prediction: Who will win?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's Liga MX matchup between Club Leon and Juarez, forming part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model suggests a 51.0% chance of Club Leon winning, a 25.4% chance for Juarez, and a 23.6% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 56% chance of going over, according to our model.
Club Leon vs. Juarez odds
We have sourced the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Club Leon | Juarez | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +125 | +200 | +270 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -145 | +105 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Club Leon vs. Juarez picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Club Leon | +125 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | -145 |
According to our Liga MX best bets, the top play to make on this game is Club Leon to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Club Leon vs. Juarez: Correct score and BTTS predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| LEO 1-1 JUA | 11.1% |
| LEO 2-1 JUA | 9.7% |
| LEO 1-0 JUA | 9.5% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 56.7% chance of both Club Leon and Juarez finding the net and a 43.3% chance that at least one doesn’t.
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, which means the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.
Club Leon vs. Juarez game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's action between Club Leon and Juarez is scheduled to commence at 11:06 PM ET.
- Who: Club Leon vs. Juarez
- Date: Saturday, April 18, 2026
- Time: 11:06 PM ET/8:06PM PT
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Club Leon has a 51.0% win probability on Saturday, Juarez has a 25.4% win probability, and there is a 23.6% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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