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Guadalajara vs. Pumas UNAM prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [4/5/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Guadalajara vs Pumas UNAM predictions for Liga MX Sunday.
Guadalajara and Pumas UNAM will lock horns in the Liga MX playoffs on Sunday, with kickoff at 10:07 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven Liga MX model projects Guadalajara as the most likely winner of the Guadalajara vs. Pumas UNAM game.
This article offers further insights into Sunday's match, including best bets and picks.
Guadalajara vs. Pumas UNAM prediction: Who will win?
Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's Liga MX game between Guadalajara and Pumas UNAM, forming part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model suggests a 55.4% chance of Guadalajara winning, a 20.7% chance for Pumas UNAM, and a 23.9% chance of a draw.
Guadalajara vs. Pumas UNAM odds
We have sourced the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Market | Guadalajara | Pumas UNAM | Draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -190 | +500 | +360 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Guadalajara vs. Pumas UNAM picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Pumas UNAM | +500 |
According to our Liga MX best bets, the top play to make on this game is Pumas UNAM to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Guadalajara vs. Pumas UNAM: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-0 Guadalajara win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| GUA 1-0 PUM | 12.1% |
| GUA 1-1 PUM | 11.4% |
| GUA 2-0 PUM | 10.3% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 49.9% chance of both sides finding the net and a 50.1% chance that at least one doesn’t.
Guadalajara vs. Pumas UNAM game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's action between Guadalajara and Pumas UNAM is scheduled to start at 10:07 PM ET.
- Who: Guadalajara vs. Pumas UNAM
- Date: Sunday, April 5, 2026
- Time: 10:07 PM ET/7:07PM PT
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Guadalajara has a 55.4% win probability on Sunday, Pumas UNAM has a 20.7% win probability, and there is a 23.9% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Guadalajara vs. Pumas UNAM insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our responsible gambling hub.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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