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Mazatlan vs. Club Leon prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [3/6/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Mazatlan vs Club Leon predictions for Liga MX Friday.
Mazatlan will square off with Club Leon in the Liga MX playoffs at Estadio El Encanto on Friday, starting at 8:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven Liga MX model projects Club Leon as the most likely winner of the Mazatlan vs. Club Leon game.
This article offers further insights into Friday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Mazatlan vs. Club Leon prediction: Who will win?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Friday's Liga MX game between Mazatlan and Club Leon 10,000 times as part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model indicates a 30.1% chance of Mazatlan winning, a 43.3% chance for Club Leon, and a 26.6% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 54% chance of staying under, according to our model.
Mazatlan vs. Club Leon odds
We have researched the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Mazatlan | Club Leon | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +210 | +120 | +260 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -130 | +106 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Mazatlan vs. Club Leon picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Club Leon | +120 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | +106 |
According to our Liga MX best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 2.5 total goals.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Mazatlan vs. Club Leon: Correct score and BTTS predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| MZA 1-1 LEO | 12.6% |
| MZA 0-1 LEO | 11.3% |
| MZA 1-0 LEO | 9% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 50.7% chance of both Mazatlan and Club Leon finding the net and a 49.3% chance that at least one doesn’t.
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, which means the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.
Mazatlan vs. Club Leon game-day updates and essential details
Friday's game between Mazatlan and Club Leon at Estadio El Encanto is scheduled to start at 8:00 PM ET.
- Who: Mazatlan vs. Club Leon
- Date: Friday, March 6, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: Estadio El Encanto
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Mazatlan has a 30.1% win probability on Friday, Club Leon has a 43.3% win probability, and there is a 26.6% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Mazatlan vs. Club Leon insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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