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Mazatlan vs. Queretaro prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [4/17/2026]

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Written by Ryan Leaver

Get Mazatlan vs Queretaro predictions for Liga MX Friday.

Mazatlan-Queretaro Predictions and Game Preview.
Mazatlan vs. Queretaro Liga MX prediction for Friday, April 17, 2026.

Liga MX action continues on Friday at 9:00 PM ET as Queretaro takes on Mazatlan in the playoffs at Estadio El Encanto.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven Liga MX model projects Mazatlan as the most likely winner of the Mazatlan vs. Queretaro game.

This article offers further insights into Friday's match, including best bets and picks.

Mazatlan vs. Queretaro prediction: Who will win?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Friday's Liga MX matchup between Mazatlan and Queretaro, forming part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently suggests a 38.3% chance of Mazatlan winning, a 34.1% chance for Queretaro, and a 27.6% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 57% chance of staying under, according to our model.

 

Mazatlan vs. Queretaro odds

We have sourced the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

Mazatlan Queretaro Draw
+190 +135 +250

Total Goals

Over 2.5 Under 2.5
-120 -110

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Mazatlan vs. Queretaro picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type Pick Bet Now
Moneyline Mazatlan +190
Total Goals Under 2.5 -110

According to our Liga MX best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 2.5 total goals.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

 

Mazatlan vs. Queretaro: Correct score and BTTS predictions

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

Final Score Probability
MZA 1-1 QUE 13%
MZA 1-0 QUE 11.2%
MZA 0-1 QUE 10.5%

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 48.9% chance of both sides finding the net and a 51.1% chance that at least one doesn’t.

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, which means the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.

Mazatlan vs. Queretaro game-day updates and essential details

Friday's action between Mazatlan and Queretaro at Estadio El Encanto is scheduled to start at 9:00 PM ET.

  • Who: Mazatlan vs. Queretaro
  • Date: Friday, April 17, 2026
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT
  • Venue: Estadio El Encanto

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Mazatlan has a 38.3% win probability on Friday, Queretaro has a 34.1% win probability, and there is a 27.6% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.

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Written by
Ryan Leaver
Senior Sports and Betting Editor

Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.

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