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Mazatlan vs. Queretaro prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [4/17/2026]
Get Mazatlan vs Queretaro predictions for Liga MX Friday.

Liga MX action continues on Friday at 9:00 PM ET as Queretaro takes on Mazatlan in the playoffs at Estadio El Encanto.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven Liga MX model projects Mazatlan as the most likely winner of the Mazatlan vs. Queretaro game.
This article offers further insights into Friday's match, including best bets and picks.
Mazatlan vs. Queretaro prediction: Who will win?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Friday's Liga MX matchup between Mazatlan and Queretaro, forming part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently suggests a 38.3% chance of Mazatlan winning, a 34.1% chance for Queretaro, and a 27.6% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 57% chance of staying under, according to our model.
Mazatlan vs. Queretaro odds
We have sourced the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Mazatlan | Queretaro | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +190 | +135 | +250 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -120 | -110 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Mazatlan vs. Queretaro picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Mazatlan | +190 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | -110 |
According to our Liga MX best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 2.5 total goals.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Mazatlan vs. Queretaro: Correct score and BTTS predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| MZA 1-1 QUE | 13% |
| MZA 1-0 QUE | 11.2% |
| MZA 0-1 QUE | 10.5% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 48.9% chance of both sides finding the net and a 51.1% chance that at least one doesn’t.
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, which means the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.
Mazatlan vs. Queretaro game-day updates and essential details
Friday's action between Mazatlan and Queretaro at Estadio El Encanto is scheduled to start at 9:00 PM ET.
- Who: Mazatlan vs. Queretaro
- Date: Friday, April 17, 2026
- Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT
- Venue: Estadio El Encanto
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Mazatlan has a 38.3% win probability on Friday, Queretaro has a 34.1% win probability, and there is a 27.6% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
