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Monterrey vs. Club Leon prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [2/14/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Monterrey vs Club Leon predictions for Liga MX Saturday.
Monterrey and Club Leon will lock horns in the Liga MX playoffs at Estadio BBVA on Saturday, starting at 8:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven Liga MX model predicts Monterrey as the most likely winner of the Monterrey vs. Club Leon game.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Monterrey vs. Club Leon prediction: Who will win?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's Liga MX matchup between Monterrey and Club Leon 10,000 times as part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently suggests a 57.7% chance of Monterrey winning, a 20.8% chance for Club Leon, and a 21.5% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 60% chance of going over, according to our model.
Monterrey vs. Club Leon odds
We have sourced the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Monterrey | Club Leon | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| -185 | +490 | +340 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -172 | +140 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Monterrey vs. Club Leon picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Club Leon | +490 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | +140 |
According to our Liga MX best bets, the top play to make on this game is Club Leon to win.
Monterrey vs. Club Leon: Correct score and BTTS predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| MNT 1-1 LEO | 10% |
| MNT 2-1 LEO | 9.9% |
| MNT 1-0 LEO | 9% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 57.9% chance that both teams scoring, and a 42.1% probability of at least one team being held goalless.
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.
Monterrey vs. Club Leon game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's game between Monterrey and Club Leon at Estadio BBVA is scheduled to begin at 8:00 PM ET.
- Who: Monterrey vs. Club Leon
- Date: Saturday, February 14, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: Estadio BBVA
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Monterrey has a 57.7% win probability on Saturday, Club Leon has a 20.8% win probability, and there is a 21.5% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Monterrey vs. Club Leon insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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