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Monterrey vs. Pachuca prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [4/18/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Monterrey vs Pachuca predictions for Liga MX Saturday.
Liga MX action continues on Saturday at 9:05 PM ET as Pachuca locks horns with Monterrey in the playoffs at Estadio BBVA.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' proven Liga MX model predicts Monterrey as the most likely winner of the Monterrey vs. Pachuca game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.
Monterrey vs. Pachuca prediction: Who will win?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's Liga MX game between Monterrey and Pachuca, forming part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model indicates a 51.7% chance of Monterrey winning, a 25.8% chance for Pachuca, and a 22.5% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 61% chance of going over, according to our model.
Monterrey vs. Pachuca odds
We have researched the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Monterrey | Pachuca | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +105 | +230 | +280 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -175 | +120 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Monterrey vs. Pachuca picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Monterrey | +105 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | -175 |
According to our Liga MX best bets, the top play to make on this game is Monterrey to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Monterrey vs. Pachuca: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| MNT 1-1 PCH | 10.2% |
| MNT 2-1 PCH | 9.6% |
| MNT 1-0 PCH | 8.1% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 60.8% chance of both Monterrey and Pachuca finding the net and a 39.2% chance that at least one doesn’t.
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.
Monterrey vs. Pachuca game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's game between Monterrey and Pachuca at Estadio BBVA is scheduled to commence at 9:05 PM ET.
- Who: Monterrey vs. Pachuca
- Date: Saturday, April 18, 2026
- Time: 9:05 PM ET/6:05PM PT
- Venue: Estadio BBVA
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Monterrey has a 51.7% win probability on Saturday, Pachuca has a 25.8% win probability, and there is a 22.5% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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