...
...
Read Article
Monterrey vs. Puebla prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [4/21/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Monterrey vs Puebla predictions for Liga MX Tuesday.
Monterrey and Puebla are scheduled to meet in the Liga MX playoffs at Estadio BBVA on Tuesday, with kickoff at 11:05 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced Liga MX model projects Monterrey as the most likely winner of the Monterrey vs. Puebla game.
This article offers a closer look at Tuesday's match, including best bets and picks.
Monterrey vs. Puebla prediction: Who will win?
Using trusted machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the result of Tuesday's Liga MX matchup between Monterrey and Puebla, forming part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently indicates a 67.5% chance of Monterrey winning, a 14.3% chance for Puebla, and an 18.2% chance of a draw.
Monterrey vs. Puebla odds
We have sourced the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Market | Monterrey | Puebla | Draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -225 | +600 | +370 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Monterrey vs. Puebla picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Puebla | +600 |
According to our Liga MX best bets, the top play to make on this game is Puebla to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Monterrey vs. Puebla: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 2-0 Monterrey win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| MNT 2-0 PUE | 10% |
| MNT 2-1 PUE | 9.7% |
| MNT 1-0 PUE | 8.6% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 56.1% chance of both sides finding the net and a 43.9% chance that at least one doesn’t.
Monterrey vs. Puebla game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's action between Monterrey and Puebla at Estadio BBVA is scheduled to begin at 11:05 PM ET.
- Who: Monterrey vs. Puebla
- Date: Tuesday, April 21, 2026
- Time: 11:05 PM ET/8:05PM PT
- Venue: Estadio BBVA
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Monterrey has a 67.5% win probability on Tuesday, Puebla has a 14.3% win probability, and there is an 18.2% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
Advertiser disclosure