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Necaxa vs. Atlas prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [1/17/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Necaxa vs Atlas predictions for Liga MX Saturday.
Liga MX action continues on Saturday at 6:00 PM ET as Atlas squares off with Necaxa in the playoffs at Estadio Victoria.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven Liga MX model predicts Necaxa as the most likely winner of the Necaxa vs. Atlas game.
This article offers a closer look at Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Necaxa vs. Atlas prediction: Who will win?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's Liga MX matchup between Necaxa and Atlas 10,000 times as part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model suggests a 51.9% chance of Necaxa winning, a 24.5% chance for Atlas, and a 23.6% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 55% chance of going over, according to our model.
Necaxa vs. Atlas odds
We have researched the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Necaxa | Atlas | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| -110 | +300 | +260 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -120 | -110 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Necaxa vs. Atlas picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Necaxa | -110 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | -120 |
According to our Liga MX best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 2.5 total goals.
Necaxa vs. Atlas: Correct score and BTTS predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| NXA 1-1 ATS | 11.1% |
| NXA 1-0 ATS | 9.8% |
| NXA 2-1 ATS | 9.7% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 56.0% chance of the yes hitting, and a 44.0% probability of at least one team being held goalless.
These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations, which means the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.
Necaxa vs. Atlas game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's action between Necaxa and Atlas at Estadio Victoria is scheduled to begin at 6:00 PM ET.
- Who: Necaxa vs. Atlas
- Date: Saturday, January 17, 2026
- Time: 6:00 PM ET/3:00PM PT
- Venue: Estadio Victoria
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Necaxa has a 51.9% win probability on Saturday, Atlas has a 24.5% win probability, and there is a 23.6% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Necaxa vs. Atlas insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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