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Necaxa vs. Pachuca prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [10/3/2025]

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Written by Ryan Leaver

Get Necaxa vs Pachuca predictions for Liga MX Friday.

Necaxa-Pachuca Predictions and Game Preview.
Necaxa vs. Pachuca Liga MX prediction for Friday, October 3, 2025.

Liga MX action continues on Friday at 9:00PM ET as Pachuca locks horns with Necaxa at Estadio Victoria.

Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced Liga MX model predicts Necaxa as the most likely winner of today's game.

For a closer look at Friday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Necaxa vs. Pachuca predictions page.

Necaxa vs. Pachuca prediction: Who will win?

Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Friday's Liga MX game between Necaxa and Pachuca 10,000 times as part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model currently indicates a 41.3% chance of Necaxa winning, a 35.0% chance for Pachuca, and a 23.7% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 61% chance of going over, according to our model.

 

Necaxa vs. Pachuca odds

We have sourced the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

Necaxa Pachuca Draw
+150 +170 +260

Total Goals

Over 2.5 Under 2.5
-158 +128

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Make the most of your sports betting experience by exploring our comprehensive list of US betting apps, and the latest sportsbooks in 2025, ensuring you never miss a top new-user deal.

Necaxa vs. Pachuca picks and best bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Necaxa vs. Pachuca matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, matched against the current odds, reveal the best Liga MX picks and Liga MX best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Necaxa vs. Pachuca: Correct score and BTTS predictions

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

Final Score Probability
NXA 1-1 PCH 10.7%
NXA 2-1 PCH 8.8%
NXA 1-2 PCH 8%

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 62.5% chance of the yes hitting, and a 37.5% probability of at least one team being held goalless.

These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations, meaning the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.

Necaxa vs. Pachuca game-day updates and essential details

Friday's matchup between Necaxa and Pachuca at Estadio Victoria is scheduled to start at 9:00PM ET.

  • Who: Necaxa vs. Pachuca
  • Date: Friday, October 3, 2025
  • Time: 9:00PM ET/6:00PM PT
  • Venue: Estadio Victoria

Dimers' full preview of Friday's Necaxa vs. Pachuca matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Pachuca vs. Necaxa picks, be sure to check out the latest Liga MX predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Necaxa has a 41.3% win probability on Friday, Pachuca has a 35.0% win probability, and there is a 23.7% chance that the game will end in a draw.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Necaxa vs. Pachuca insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on Liga MX

Stay up-to-date with the latest Liga MX betting news and parlay picks throughout the season.

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Written by
Ryan Leaver
Senior Sports and Betting Editor

Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.

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