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Necaxa vs. Pumas UNAM prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [3/6/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Necaxa vs Pumas UNAM predictions for Liga MX Friday.
Necaxa and Pumas UNAM will lock horns in the Liga MX playoffs on Friday, starting at 10:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced Liga MX model predicts Pumas UNAM as the most likely winner of the Necaxa vs. Pumas UNAM game.
This article offers further insights into Friday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Necaxa vs. Pumas UNAM prediction: Who will win?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's Liga MX matchup between Necaxa and Pumas UNAM 10,000 times as part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently suggests a 33.5% chance of Necaxa winning, a 41.1% chance for Pumas UNAM, and a 25.4% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 52% chance of going over, according to our model.
Necaxa vs. Pumas UNAM odds
We have sourced the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Necaxa | Pumas UNAM | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +200 | +125 | +255 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -130 | +106 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Necaxa vs. Pumas UNAM picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Necaxa | +200 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | +106 |
According to our Liga MX best bets, the top play to make on this game is Necaxa to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Necaxa vs. Pumas UNAM: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| NXA 1-1 PUM | 12% |
| NXA 0-1 PUM | 9.3% |
| NXA 1-2 PUM | 8.8% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 55.7% chance of both sides finding the net and a 44.3% chance that at least one doesn’t.
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.
Necaxa vs. Pumas UNAM game-day updates and essential details
Friday's action between Necaxa and Pumas UNAM is scheduled to start at 10:00 PM ET.
- Who: Necaxa vs. Pumas UNAM
- Date: Friday, March 6, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Necaxa has a 33.5% win probability on Friday, Pumas UNAM has a 41.1% win probability, and there is a 25.4% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Necaxa vs. Pumas UNAM insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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