Jun 5, 2026
Belgium vs. Egypt prediction refreshed following 2026 World Cup squad announcements
Read Article Iraq vs. Norway prediction updated after 2026 World Cup squad announcements
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get updated predictions and squad insights for the upcoming Norway vs Iraq FIFA World Cup game.
Following the official squad announcements for both nations, our experts have determined the updated win probabilities and bets for the Group matchup between Norway and Iraq at Gillette Stadium on Tuesday, June 16.
Dimers Pro users have access to the full analysis below, where we build on our early Norway-Iraq predictions to detail the latest predictions and betting picks, and have a complete look at the official player lists for both teams.
Official World Cup squads: Iraq and Norway
Here are the confirmed rosters for both teams heading into the 2026 World Cup:
Iraq
Goalkeepers: Fahad Talib (Al-Talaba), Jalal Hassan (Al-Zawraa), Ahmed Basil (Al-Shorta)
Defenders: Hussein Ali (Pogoń Szczecin), Manaf Younis (Al-Shorta), Zaid Tahseen (Pakhtakor), Rebin Sulaka (Port FC), Akam Hashem (Al-Zawraa), Merchas Doski (Viktoria Plzeň), Ahmed Yahya (Al-Shorta), Zaid Ismail (Al-Talaba), Frans Putros (Port FC), Mustafa Saadoon (Al-Shorta)
Midfielders: Amir Al-Ammari (Cracovia), Kevin Yakob (AGF Aarhus), Zidane Iqbal (FC Utrecht), Aimar Sher (Sarpsborg 08), Ibrahim Bayesh (Al-Riyadh), Ahmed Qasim (Elfsborg), Youssef Amyn (Eintracht Braunschweig), Marko Farji (Strømsgodset)
Forwards: Ali Jasim (Como), Ali Al-Hamadi (Ipswich Town), Ali Yousef (Al-Shorta), Aymen Hussein (Al-Khor), Mohanad Ali (Al-Shorta)
Manager: Graham Arnold
Norway
Goalkeepers: Ørjan Nyland (Sevilla), Egil Selvik (Watford), Sander Tangvik (Hamburg SV)
Defenders: Julian Ryerson (Borussia Dortmund), Kristoffer Ajer (Brentford), Leo Østigård (Genoa), David Møller Wolfe (Wolverhampton Wanderers), Marcus Pedersen (Torino), Torbjørn Heggem (Bologna), Fredrik André Bjørkan (Bodø/Glimt), Henrik Falchener (Viking), Sondre Langås (Derby County)
Midfielders: Martin Ødegaard (Arsenal), Sander Berge (Fulham), Patrick Berg (Bodø/Glimt), Kristian Thorstvedt (Sassuolo), Morten Thorsby (Cremonese), Thelo Aasgaard (Rangers), Andreas Schjelderup (Benfica), Jens Petter Hauge (Bodø/Glimt), Fredrik Aursnes (Benfica), Oscar Bobb (Fulham), Antonio Nusa (RB Leipzig)
Forwards: Erling Haaland (Manchester City), Alexander Sørloth (Atlético Madrid), Jørgen Strand Larsen (Crystal Palace)
Manager: Stale Solbakken
Updated Iraq vs. Norway predictions and picks including +600 play
Leveraging our updated data and the above lists of players, we have re-run the numbers on this clash. Here are the new probabilities:
- Win probabilities: Iraq 8.5%, Norway 75.6%, Draw 15.9%
- Both teams to score: Yes 43.7%, No 56.3%
- Total goals (2.5): Over 35.9%, Under 64.1%
- Win to nil: Iraq 4.5%, Norway 46.9%
- Double chance (win or draw): Iraq 24.4%, Norway 91.5%
- Most likely final score: 2-0 Norway win (13.6%)
These projections represent the highest probability outcomes based on the confirmed team sheets for Iraq and Norway.
Iraq vs. Norway picks and best bet
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Norway | +600 |
| Total | Under 3.5 | -175 |
We'll be providing 2026 World Cup best bets all tournament long, with the early edge here being on Norway to win.
As well as being the most likely winner of the game, the edge on Norway's odds also provides the best value for bettors.
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Norway vs. Iraq World Cup details
The FIFA World Cup matchup between Iraq and Norway is scheduled for June 16, 2026, with the two teams kicking off their tournaments in what is going to be the biggest ever World Cup.
- Teams: Iraq vs. Norway
- Tournament stage: Group
- Date: Tuesday, June 16, 2026
- Time: 6:00 PM ET/3:00PM PT
- Venue: Gillette Stadium
- Tournament odds: Who will win the World Cup?
Conclusion: Iraq vs. Norway prediction
Our World Cup predictions for this matchup suggest that ** to win** is the most likely outcome, followed by to win, with to win as the least likely result.
For guidance on safer wagering habits, explore our Responsible Gambling resources.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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