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Pachuca vs. Pumas UNAM prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [4/25/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Pachuca vs Pumas UNAM predictions for Liga MX Saturday.
Pachuca and Pumas UNAM are scheduled to meet in the Liga MX playoffs on Saturday, with kickoff at 7:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced Liga MX model predicts Pachuca as the most likely winner of the Pachuca vs. Pumas UNAM game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.
Pachuca vs. Pumas UNAM prediction: Who will win?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's Liga MX matchup between Pachuca and Pumas UNAM, forming part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model suggests a 42.3% chance of Pachuca winning, a 31.9% chance for Pumas UNAM, and a 25.8% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under also has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting, according to our model.
Pachuca vs. Pumas UNAM odds
We have researched the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Pachuca | Pumas UNAM | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| -105 | +260 | +270 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -155 | +110 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Pachuca vs. Pumas UNAM picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Pumas UNAM | +260 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | +110 |
According to our Liga MX best bets, the top play to make on this game is Pumas UNAM to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Pachuca vs. Pumas UNAM: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| PCH 1-1 PUM | 12.3% |
| PCH 1-0 PUM | 10% |
| PCH 2-1 PUM | 8.9% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 53.9% chance of both sides finding the net and a 46.1% chance that at least one doesn’t.
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, which means the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.
Pachuca vs. Pumas UNAM game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's matchup between Pachuca and Pumas UNAM is scheduled to start at 7:00 PM ET.
- Who: Pachuca vs. Pumas UNAM
- Date: Saturday, April 25, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Pachuca has a 42.3% win probability on Saturday, Pumas UNAM has a 31.9% win probability, and there is a 25.8% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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