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Puebla vs. Club Leon prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [4/10/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Puebla vs Club Leon predictions for Liga MX Friday.
Puebla and Club Leon will lock horns in the Liga MX playoffs on Friday, with kickoff at 9:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced Liga MX model predicts Club Leon as the most likely winner of the Puebla vs. Club Leon game.
This article offers a closer look at Friday's match, including best bets and picks.
Puebla vs. Club Leon prediction: Who will win?
Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's Liga MX matchup between Puebla and Club Leon, forming part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently indicates a 37.0% chance of Puebla winning, a 38.1% chance for Club Leon, and a 24.9% chance of a draw.
Puebla vs. Club Leon odds
We have researched the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Market | Puebla | Club Leon | Draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +165 | +155 | +250 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Puebla vs. Club Leon picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Puebla | +165 |
According to our Liga MX best bets, the top play to make on this game is Puebla to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Puebla vs. Club Leon: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| PUE 1-1 LEO | 11.6% |
| PUE 1-2 LEO | 8.4% |
| PUE 2-1 LEO | 8.3% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 58.3% chance of both sides finding the net and a 41.7% chance that at least one doesn’t.
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.
Puebla vs. Club Leon game-day updates and essential details
Friday's game between Puebla and Club Leon is scheduled to begin at 9:00 PM ET.
- Who: Puebla vs. Club Leon
- Date: Friday, April 10, 2026
- Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Puebla has a 37.0% win probability on Friday, Club Leon has a 38.1% win probability, and there is a 24.9% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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