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Puebla vs. Pumas UNAM prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [2/13/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Puebla vs Pumas UNAM predictions for Liga MX Friday.
Puebla and Pumas UNAM will lock horns in the Liga MX playoffs on Friday, with kickoff at 8:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced Liga MX model predicts Pumas UNAM as the most likely winner of the Puebla vs. Pumas UNAM game.
This article offers further insights into Friday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Puebla vs. Pumas UNAM prediction: Who will win?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's Liga MX matchup between Puebla and Pumas UNAM 10,000 times as part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently suggests a 32.0% chance of Puebla winning, a 40.9% chance for Pumas UNAM, and a 27.1% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 55% chance of staying under, according to our model.
Puebla vs. Pumas UNAM odds
We have researched the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Puebla | Pumas UNAM | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +165 | +175 | +225 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| +106 | -130 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Puebla vs. Pumas UNAM picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Pumas UNAM | +175 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | -130 |
According to our Liga MX best bets, the top play to make on this game is Pumas UNAM to win.
Puebla vs. Pumas UNAM: Correct score and BTTS predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| PUE 1-1 PUM | 12.8% |
| PUE 0-1 PUM | 11.3% |
| PUE 1-0 PUM | 9.7% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 49.9% chance that both Puebla and Pumas UNAM score, and a 50.1% probability of at least one team being held goalless.
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.
Puebla vs. Pumas UNAM game-day updates and essential details
Friday's game between Puebla and Pumas UNAM is scheduled to commence at 8:00 PM ET.
- Who: Puebla vs. Pumas UNAM
- Date: Friday, February 13, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Puebla has a 32.0% win probability on Friday, Pumas UNAM has a 40.9% win probability, and there is a 27.1% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Puebla vs. Pumas UNAM insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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