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Puebla vs. Queretaro prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [4/24/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Puebla vs Queretaro predictions for Liga MX Friday.
Puebla and Queretaro will meet in the Liga MX playoffs on Friday, with kickoff at 11:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced Liga MX model predicts Puebla as the most likely winner of the Puebla vs. Queretaro game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Friday's match, including best bets and picks.
Puebla vs. Queretaro prediction: Who will win?
Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's Liga MX matchup between Puebla and Queretaro, forming part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently indicates a 42.7% chance of Puebla winning, a 31.7% chance for Queretaro, and a 25.5% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 51% chance of going over, according to our model.
Puebla vs. Queretaro odds
We have sourced the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Puebla | Queretaro | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +165 | +160 | +235 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -120 | -119 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Puebla vs. Queretaro picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Puebla | +165 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | -120 |
According to our Liga MX best bets, the top play to make on this game is Puebla to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Puebla vs. Queretaro: Correct score and BTTS predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| PUE 1-1 QUE | 12.1% |
| PUE 1-0 QUE | 9.8% |
| PUE 2-1 QUE | 8.9% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 54.8% chance of both Puebla and Queretaro finding the net and a 45.2% chance that at least one doesn’t.
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score can differ from our predicted winner.
Puebla vs. Queretaro game-day updates and essential details
Friday's matchup between Puebla and Queretaro is scheduled to commence at 11:00 PM ET.
- Who: Puebla vs. Queretaro
- Date: Friday, April 24, 2026
- Time: 11:00 PM ET/8:00PM PT
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Puebla has a 42.7% win probability on Friday, Queretaro has a 31.7% win probability, and there is a 25.5% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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