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Pumas UNAM vs. Guadalajara prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [10/5/2025]

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Written by Ryan Leaver

Get Pumas UNAM vs Guadalajara predictions for Liga MX Sunday.

Pumas UNAM-Guadalajara Predictions and Game Preview.
Pumas UNAM vs. Guadalajara Liga MX prediction for Sunday, October 5, 2025.

Liga MX action continues on Sunday at 9:00PM ET as Guadalajara squares off with Pumas UNAM at .

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced Liga MX model predicts Pumas UNAM as the most likely winner of today's game.

"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Pumas UNAM-Guadalajara game," said Dave Garofolo from Dimers.

"Taking into account the most current updates and numerous additional factors, our prediction gives Pumas UNAM a 45.0% chance of winning, Guadalajara a 27.6% chance, and a 27.4% chance of a draw."

For expanded analysis of Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks, visit our interactive Pumas UNAM vs. Guadalajara predictions page.

Pumas UNAM vs. Guadalajara prediction: Who will win?

Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's Liga MX game between Pumas UNAM and Guadalajara 10,000 times as part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.

Our independent predictive model indicates a 45.0% chance of Pumas UNAM winning, a 27.6% chance for Guadalajara, and a 27.4% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 58% chance of staying under, according to our model.

 

Pumas UNAM vs. Guadalajara odds

We have sourced the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

Pumas UNAM Guadalajara Draw
+145 +190 +225

Total Goals

Over 2.5 Under 2.5
-105 -115

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

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Pumas UNAM vs. Guadalajara picks and best bets

Our model's biggest edge in today's Pumas UNAM vs. Guadalajara matchup is on the total.

Our expert predictions, aligned with the latest odds, reveal the best Liga MX picks and Liga MX best bets for every game throughout the season.

Unlimited access to our full suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.

Pumas UNAM vs. Guadalajara: Correct score and BTTS predictions

The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

Final Score Probability
PUM 1-1 GUA 12.9%
PUM 1-0 GUA 12.9%
PUM 0-1 GUA 9.5%

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 46.8% chance that both Pumas UNAM and Guadalajara score, and a 53.2% probability of at least one team being held goalless.

These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations, which means the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.

Pumas UNAM vs. Guadalajara game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's action between Pumas UNAM and Guadalajara is scheduled to start at 9:00PM ET.

  • Who: Pumas UNAM vs. Guadalajara
  • Date: Sunday, October 5, 2025
  • Time: 9:00PM ET/6:00PM PT

Dimers' in-depth preview of Sunday's Pumas UNAM vs. Guadalajara matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Guadalajara vs. Pumas UNAM picks, be sure to check out the latest Liga MX predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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Conclusion

According to our computer model, Pumas UNAM has a 45.0% win probability on Sunday, Guadalajara has a 27.6% win probability, and there is a 27.4% chance that the game will end in a draw.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Pumas UNAM vs. Guadalajara insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee. Learn about how we review products and services.

More on Liga MX

Keep up with the latest Liga MX betting news and parlay picks throughout the season.

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Written by
Ryan Leaver
Senior Sports and Betting Editor

Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.

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