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Pumas UNAM vs. Juarez prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [4/21/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Pumas UNAM vs Juarez predictions for Liga MX Tuesday.
Liga MX action continues on Tuesday at 9:00 PM ET as Juarez takes on Pumas UNAM in the playoffs at .
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven Liga MX model predicts Pumas UNAM as the most likely winner of the Pumas UNAM vs. Juarez game.
This article offers further insights into Tuesday's match, including best bets and picks.
Pumas UNAM vs. Juarez prediction: Who will win?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Tuesday's Liga MX game between Pumas UNAM and Juarez, forming part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model indicates a 54.1% chance of Pumas UNAM winning, a 22.1% chance for Juarez, and a 23.8% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 52% chance of going over, according to our model.
Pumas UNAM vs. Juarez odds
We have researched the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Pumas UNAM | Juarez | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| -115 | +290 | +280 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -155 | +110 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Pumas UNAM vs. Juarez picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Pumas UNAM | -115 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | +110 |
According to our best Liga MX bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 2.5 total goals.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Pumas UNAM vs. Juarez: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| PUM 1-1 JUA | 11.3% |
| PUM 1-0 JUA | 11.2% |
| PUM 2-1 JUA | 9.8% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 52.3% chance of both Pumas UNAM and Juarez finding the net and a 47.7% chance that at least one doesn’t.
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, which means the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.
Pumas UNAM vs. Juarez game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's action between Pumas UNAM and Juarez is scheduled to commence at 9:00 PM ET.
- Who: Pumas UNAM vs. Juarez
- Date: Tuesday, April 21, 2026
- Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Pumas UNAM has a 54.1% win probability on Tuesday, Juarez has a 22.1% win probability, and there is a 23.8% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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