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Pumas UNAM vs. Mazatlan prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [4/12/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Pumas UNAM vs Mazatlan predictions for Liga MX Sunday.
Liga MX action continues on Sunday at 2:00 PM ET as Mazatlan takes on the favored Pumas UNAM in the playoffs at .
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced Liga MX model projects Pumas UNAM as the most likely winner of the Pumas UNAM vs. Mazatlan game.
This article offers a closer look at Sunday's match, including best bets and picks.
Pumas UNAM vs. Mazatlan prediction: Who will win?
Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's Liga MX game between Pumas UNAM and Mazatlan, forming part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model indicates a 68.1% chance of Pumas UNAM winning, a 12.4% chance for Mazatlan, and a 19.6% chance of a draw.
Pumas UNAM vs. Mazatlan odds
We have sourced the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Market | Pumas UNAM | Mazatlan | Draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -360 | +800 | +525 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Pumas UNAM vs. Mazatlan picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Mazatlan | +800 |
According to our Liga MX best bets, the top play to make on this game is Mazatlan to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Pumas UNAM vs. Mazatlan: Correct score and BTTS predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 2-0 Pumas UNAM win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| PUM 2-0 MZA | 12.9% |
| PUM 1-0 MZA | 12.6% |
| PUM 2-1 MZA | 9.5% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 45.6% chance of both sides finding the net and a 54.4% chance that at least one doesn’t.
Pumas UNAM vs. Mazatlan game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's action between Pumas UNAM and Mazatlan is scheduled to commence at 2:00 PM ET.
- Who: Pumas UNAM vs. Mazatlan
- Date: Sunday, April 12, 2026
- Time: 2:00 PM ET/11:00AM PT
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Pumas UNAM has a 68.1% win probability on Sunday, Mazatlan has a 12.4% win probability, and there is a 19.6% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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