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Queretaro vs. Necaxa prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [4/11/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Queretaro vs Necaxa predictions for Liga MX Saturday.
Queretaro will square off with Necaxa in the Liga MX playoffs at Estadio La Corregidora on Saturday, beginning at 7:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven Liga MX model projects Queretaro as the most likely winner of the Queretaro vs. Necaxa game.
This article offers further insights into Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.
Queretaro vs. Necaxa prediction: Who will win?
Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's Liga MX game between Queretaro and Necaxa, forming part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently indicates a 38.4% chance of Queretaro winning, a 36.2% chance for Necaxa, and a 25.4% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 52% chance of going over, according to our model.
Queretaro vs. Necaxa odds
We have sourced the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Queretaro | Necaxa | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +145 | +180 | +250 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -125 | -115 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Queretaro vs. Necaxa picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Necaxa | +180 |
| Total Goals | Over 2.5 | -125 |
According to our best Liga MX bets, the top play to make on this game is Necaxa to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Queretaro vs. Necaxa: Correct score and BTTS predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| QUE 1-1 NXA | 12% |
| QUE 1-0 NXA | 8.8% |
| QUE 2-1 NXA | 8.5% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 56.3% chance of both sides finding the net and a 43.7% chance that at least one doesn’t.
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, meaning the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.
Queretaro vs. Necaxa game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's game between Queretaro and Necaxa at Estadio La Corregidora is scheduled to commence at 7:00 PM ET.
- Who: Queretaro vs. Necaxa
- Date: Saturday, April 11, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Estadio La Corregidora
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Queretaro has a 38.4% win probability on Saturday, Necaxa has a 36.2% win probability, and there is a 25.4% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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