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San Luis vs. Pumas UNAM prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [4/17/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get San Luis vs Pumas UNAM predictions for Liga MX Friday.
Liga MX action continues on Friday at 9:00 PM ET as Pumas UNAM locks horns with Atletico San Luis in the playoffs at .
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced Liga MX model predicts Pumas UNAM as the most likely winner of the Atletico San Luis vs. Pumas UNAM game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Friday's match, including best bets and picks.
Atletico San Luis vs. Pumas UNAM prediction: Who will win?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Friday's Liga MX game between Atletico San Luis and Pumas UNAM, forming part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model indicates a 34.1% chance of Atletico San Luis winning, a 40.7% chance for Pumas UNAM, and a 25.2% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 53% chance of going over, according to our model.
Atletico San Luis vs. Pumas UNAM odds
We have researched the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Atletico San Luis | Pumas UNAM | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +190 | +125 | +280 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -185 | +120 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Atletico San Luis vs. Pumas UNAM picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | San Luis | +190 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | +120 |
According to our best Liga MX bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 2.5 total goals.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Atletico San Luis vs. Pumas UNAM: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| ASL 1-1 PUM | 11.9% |
| ASL 0-1 PUM | 8.9% |
| ASL 1-2 PUM | 8.8% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 56.7% chance of both sides finding the net and a 43.3% chance that at least one doesn’t.
These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, which means the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.
San Luis vs. Pumas UNAM game-day updates and essential details
Friday's action between Atletico San Luis and Pumas UNAM is scheduled to start at 9:00 PM ET.
- Who: Atletico San Luis vs. Pumas UNAM
- Date: Friday, April 17, 2026
- Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Atletico San Luis has a 34.1% win probability on Friday, Pumas UNAM has a 40.7% win probability, and there is a 25.2% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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