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Tigres UANL vs. Cruz Azul prediction, odds, Liga MX Semi-Final picks [12/6/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Tigres UANL vs Cruz Azul predictions for Liga MX Saturday.
Tigres UANL and Cruz Azul will lock horns in the Liga MX playoffs on Saturday, starting at 10:10PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced Liga MX model predicts Tigres UANL as the most likely winner of the Tigres UANL vs. Cruz Azul game.
This article offers further insights into Saturday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Tigres UANL vs. Cruz Azul prediction: Who will win?
Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's Liga MX game between Tigres UANL and Cruz Azul 10,000 times as part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model indicates a 49.6% chance of Tigres UANL winning, a 25.8% chance for Cruz Azul, and a 24.6% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals has a 52% chance of going over, according to our model.
Tigres UANL vs. Cruz Azul odds
We have researched the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Tigres UANL | Cruz Azul | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| -105 | +300 | +260 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -140 | +110 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Tigres UANL vs. Cruz Azul picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Cruz Azul | +300 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | +110 |
According to our Liga MX best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 2.5 total goals.
Tigres UANL vs. Cruz Azul: Correct score and BTTS predictions
The top three most likely final scores, according to our model, are listed below, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| TUA 1-1 CAZ | 11.7% |
| TUA 1-0 CAZ | 10.6% |
| TUA 2-1 CAZ | 9.5% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 53.8% chance that both Tigres UANL and Cruz Azul score, and a 46.2% probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet.
These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations, which means the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.
Tigres UANL vs. Cruz Azul game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's game between Tigres UANL and Cruz Azul is scheduled to begin at 10:10PM ET.
- Who: Tigres UANL vs. Cruz Azul
- Date: Saturday, December 6, 2025
- Time: 10:10PM ET/7:10PM PT
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Tigres UANL has a 49.6% win probability on Saturday, Cruz Azul has a 25.8% win probability, and there is a 24.6% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Tigres UANL vs. Cruz Azul insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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