Tigres UANL vs. Guadalajara prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [4/11/2026]

Liga MX action continues on Saturday at 7:00 PM ET as Guadalajara squares off with Tigres UANL in the playoffs at Estadio Universitario.

Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven Liga MX model predicts Tigres UANL as the most likely winner of the Tigres UANL vs. Guadalajara game.

This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's match, including best bets and picks.

Tigres UANL vs. Guadalajara prediction: Who will win?

Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Saturday's Liga MX matchup between Tigres UANL and Guadalajara, forming part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model suggests a 45.8% chance of Tigres UANL winning, a 28.7% chance for Guadalajara, and a 25.5% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the over/under total of 2.5 goals also has an equal 50-50 chance of hitting, according to our model.

Tigres UANL vs. Guadalajara odds

We have researched the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

Total Goals

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Tigres UANL vs. Guadalajara picks and best bet

After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

According to our Liga MX best bets, the top play to make on this game is Tigres UANL to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Tigres UANL vs. Guadalajara: Correct score and BTTS predictions

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-1 draw being the most probable:

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 53.1% chance of both Tigres UANL and Guadalajara finding the net and a 46.9% chance that at least one doesn’t.

These predictions are based on each team's average score according to our machine learning model, which means the most likely correct score may differ from our predicted winner.

Tigres UANL vs. Guadalajara game-day updates and essential details

Saturday's action between Tigres UANL and Guadalajara at Estadio Universitario is scheduled to commence at 7:00 PM ET.

• Who: Tigres UANL vs. Guadalajara
• Date: Saturday, April 11, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: Estadio Universitario

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Tigres UANL has a 45.8% win probability on Saturday, Guadalajara has a 28.7% win probability, and there is a 25.5% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.