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Toluca vs. Pachuca prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [10/26/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Toluca vs Pachuca predictions for Liga MX Sunday.
Toluca will square off with Pachuca in Liga MX action on Sunday, starting at 9:00PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven Liga MX model predicts Toluca as the most likely winner of the Toluca vs. Pachuca game.
This article offers further insights into Sunday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Toluca vs. Pachuca prediction: Who will win?
Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's Liga MX game between Toluca and Pachuca 10,000 times as part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently indicates a 63.0% chance of Toluca winning, a 17.7% chance for Pachuca, and a 19.3% chance of a draw.
Toluca vs. Pachuca odds
We have researched the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Market | Toluca | Pachuca | Draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -165 | +410 | +340 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Toluca vs. Pachuca picks and best bet
Our predictions, matched with the available odds, reveal the top betting picks to place on this game, detailed in our Liga MX best bets, crafted from expert modeling and analysis:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Toluca | -165 |
| According to our Liga MX best bets, the top play to make on this game is Toluca moneyline. |
Toluca vs. Pachuca: Correct score and BTTS predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scoresaccording to our model, with a 2-1 Toluca win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| TOL 2-1 PCH | 9.7% |
| TOL 2-0 PCH | 8.7% |
| TOL 1-1 PCH | 8.6% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 60.2% chance that both Toluca and Pachuca score, and a 39.8% probability of at least one team being held goalless.
These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations.
Toluca vs. Pachuca game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's action between Toluca and Pachuca is scheduled to commence at 9:00PM ET.
- Who: Toluca vs. Pachuca
- Date: Sunday, October 26, 2025
- Time: 9:00PM ET/6:00PM PT
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Conclusion
According to our computer model, Toluca has a 63.0% win probability on Sunday, Pachuca has a 17.7% win probability, and there is a 19.3% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Toluca vs. Pachuca insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are sourced from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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More on Liga MX
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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