Arkansas-Little Rock vs. Virginia Commonwealth prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 2, 2026

Virginia Commonwealth is favored to beat Arkansas-Little Rock at Stuart C. Siegel Center on Monday (7:00 PM ET), according to Dimers' men's college basketball model.

Our Arkansas-Little Rock vs. Virginia Commonwealth prediction gives Virginia Commonwealth a 95.5% chance of winning, and the latest odds suggest there's betting value on Virginia Commonwealth to cover at -19.5, too.

Arkansas-Little Rock vs. Virginia Commonwealth key predictions

• Predicted score: Virginia Commonwealth 87-66 Arkansas-Little Rock
• Virginia Commonwealth win probability: 95.5%
• Arkansas-Little Rock win probability: 4.5%
• Virginia Commonwealth -19.5 spread: 51.1% cover probability
• Under 155.5 points: 51.7% probability

Our men's college basketball predictions project each team's final score using offensive and defensive efficiency, recent performance, long-term trends, and matchup-specific factors.

We calculate win, spread, and total probabilities based on these projections and historical CBB scoring patterns, then compare them with the latest odds to find betting value.

Arkansas-Little Rock vs. Virginia Commonwealth odds

Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets we track.

• Arkansas-Little Rock moneyline: +1600 (FanDuel)
• Virginia Commonwealth moneyline: -3000 (BetMGM)
• Arkansas-Little Rock +19.5: -110 (Caesars Sportsbook)
• Virginia Commonwealth -19.5: -102 (BetMGM)
• Over 155.5 points: -110 (FanDuel)
• Under 155.5 points: -105 (BetMGM)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

Arkansas-Little Rock vs. Virginia Commonwealth pick: Virginia Commonwealth -19.5 (-102)

Our model makes Virginia Commonwealth the likelier winner, and our best value bet is Virginia Commonwealth to cover the -19.5 spread at -102 on BetMGM, too.

Those odds give Virginia Commonwealth an implied cover probability of 50.5%, while our model puts it at 51.1%.

That's a 0.6% edge, the largest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets for this game.

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• Best bets across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets
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Arkansas-Little Rock vs. Virginia Commonwealth game details

• Matchup: Arkansas-Little Rock Trojans vs. Virginia Commonwealth Rams
• Date: Monday, November 2, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET
• Venue: Stuart C. Siegel Center

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from our men's college basketball models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or lineup changes. Learn how our predictions work.

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