Illinois State vs. Saint Mary's prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 2, 2026

Saint Mary's is favored to beat Illinois State at University Credit Union Pavilion on Monday (10:00 PM ET), according to Dimers' men's college basketball model.

Our Illinois State vs. Saint Mary's prediction gives Saint Mary's a 75.9% chance of winning, and the latest odds suggest there's betting value on Saint Mary's to cover at -6.5, too.

Illinois State vs. Saint Mary's key predictions

• Predicted score: Saint Mary's 78-70 Illinois State
• Saint Mary's win probability: 75.9%
• Illinois State win probability: 24.1%
• Saint Mary's -6.5 spread: 55.0% cover probability
• Over 148.5 points: 51.9% probability

Our men's college basketball predictions project each team's final score using offensive and defensive efficiency, recent performance, long-term trends, and matchup-specific factors.

We calculate win, spread, and total probabilities based on these projections and historical CBB scoring patterns, then compare them with the latest odds to find betting value.

Illinois State vs. Saint Mary's odds

Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets we track.

• Illinois State moneyline: +230 (DraftKings)
• Saint Mary's moneyline: -278 (Caesars Sportsbook)
• Illinois State +6.5: -110 (Caesars Sportsbook)
• Saint Mary's -6.5: -107 (BetRivers)
• Over 148.5 points: -105 (BetMGM)
• Under 148.5 points: -110 (FanDuel)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

Illinois State vs. Saint Mary's pick: Saint Mary's -6.5 (-107)

Our model makes Saint Mary's the likelier winner, and our best value bet is Saint Mary's to cover the -6.5 spread at -107 on BetRivers, too.

Those odds give Saint Mary's an implied cover probability of 51.7%, while our model puts it at 55.0%.

That's a 3.3% edge, the largest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets for this game.

Get every Illinois State vs. Saint Mary's prediction with Dimers Pro

Dimers Pro members get full access to our Illinois State vs. Saint Mary's predictions, including:

• Best bets across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets
• Player prop edges for points, rebounds, assists, three-pointers, steals, and blocks

Illinois State vs. Saint Mary's game details

• Matchup: Illinois State Redbirds vs. Saint Mary's Gaels
• Date: Monday, November 2, 2026
• Time: 10:00 PM ET
• Venue: University Credit Union Pavilion

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from our men's college basketball models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or lineup changes. Learn how our predictions work.

Dimers encourages responsible gambling.