Mount St. Mary's vs. Xavier prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 2, 2026

Xavier is favored to beat Mount St. Mary's at Cintas Center on Monday (7:00 PM ET), according to Dimers' men's college basketball model.

Our Mount St. Mary's vs. Xavier prediction gives Xavier a 97.9% chance of winning, while the latest odds suggest the best betting value is on the under 156.5 points.

Mount St. Mary's vs. Xavier key predictions

• Predicted score: Xavier 89-64 Mount St. Mary's
• Xavier win probability: 97.9%
• Mount St. Mary's win probability: 2.1%
• Mount St. Mary's +26.5 spread: 52.0% cover probability
• Under 156.5 points: 53.1% probability

Our men's college basketball predictions project each team's final score using offensive and defensive efficiency, recent performance, long-term trends, and matchup-specific factors.

We calculate win, spread, and total probabilities based on these projections and historical CBB scoring patterns, then compare them with the latest odds to find betting value.

Mount St. Mary's vs. Xavier odds

Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets we track.

• Mount St. Mary's moneyline: +3500 (DraftKings)
• Xavier moneyline: -10000 (BetMGM)
• Mount St. Mary's +26.5: -110 (Caesars Sportsbook)
• Xavier -26.5: -105 (BetMGM)
• Over 156.5 points: -106 (FanDuel)
• Under 156.5 points: -105 (DraftKings)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

Mount St. Mary's vs. Xavier pick: Under 156.5 (-105)

Our model makes Xavier the likelier winner, but our best value bet is the under 156.5 total points at -105 on DraftKings.

Those odds give the under an implied probability of 51.2%, while our model puts it at 53.1%.

That's a 1.8% edge (accounting for rounding), the largest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets for this game.

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Mount St. Mary's vs. Xavier game details

• Matchup: Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers vs. Xavier Musketeers
• Date: Monday, November 2, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET
• Venue: Cintas Center

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from our men's college basketball models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or lineup changes. Learn how our predictions work.

Dimers encourages responsible gambling.