Northwestern State vs. Murray State prediction, odds, pick for Nov. 7, 2026

Murray State is favored to beat Northwestern State at CFSB Center on Saturday (8:00 PM ET), according to Dimers' men's college basketball model.

Our Northwestern State vs. Murray State prediction gives the Demons a 96.8% chance of winning, but the latest odds suggest there's betting value on Northwestern State to cover at +23.5.

Northwestern State vs. Murray State key predictions

• Predicted score: Murray State 89-66 Northwestern State
• Murray State win probability: 96.8%
• Northwestern State win probability: 3.2%
• Northwestern State +23.5 spread: 52.0% cover probability
• Over 155.5 points: 50.3% probability

Our men's college basketball predictions project each team's final score using offensive and defensive efficiency, recent performance, long-term trends, and matchup-specific factors.

We calculate win, spread, and total probabilities based on these projections and historical CBB scoring patterns, then compare them with the latest odds to find betting value.

Northwestern State vs. Murray State odds

Here are the best available odds across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets we track.

• Northwestern State moneyline: +2200 (BetMGM)
• Murray State moneyline: -8000 (DraftKings)
• Northwestern State +23.5: -105 (BetMGM)
• Murray State -23.5: -112 (DraftKings)
• Over 155.5 points: -108 (DraftKings)
• Under 155.5 points: -110 (Caesars Sportsbook)

Odds are subject to change and may vary by location.

Northwestern State vs. Murray State pick: Northwestern State +23.5 (-105)

Our model makes Murray State the likelier winner, but our best value bet is the Racers to cover the +23.5 spread at -105 on BetMGM.

Those odds give Northwestern State an implied cover probability of 51.2%, while our model puts it at 52.0%.

That's a 0.8% edge, the largest across the moneyline, spread, and total points markets for this game.

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Northwestern State vs. Murray State game details

• Matchup: Northwestern State Demons vs. Murray State Racers
• Date: Saturday, November 7, 2026
• Time: 8:00 PM ET
• Venue: CFSB Center

About this prediction

This preview uses predictions from our men's college basketball models, presented through a template written by our editorial team. Matchup details fill in automatically.

Predictions are estimates, not guarantees, and can change as new information comes in, such as injury news or lineup changes. Learn how our predictions work.

Dimers encourages responsible gambling.